NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	119		Excitement	8.4 [225]		MVP	Sebastian Telfair (POR): +16.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	115		Comeback	3.3 [194]		LVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): -18.6%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.09	0.03	22	69%	0.30	5	-0.15	7	100%	0.07
Brian Skinner	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.01	0.10	-0.01	7	57%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.07	0.02	-0.13	14	43%	-0.01	1	0.09	9	67%	-0.01
Darius Songaila	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	78%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Eddie House	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04	-0.05	0.08	-0.01	17	46%	0.09	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.05
Maurice Evans	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Bibby	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.09	-0.07	0.03	17	47%	-0.07	4	-0.12	6	67%	-0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.08	0.00	12	70%	0.19	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	-0.01	-0.05	2	80%	0.08	1	-0.03	6	67%	0.05
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	15	62%	0.15	2	-0.11	7	100%	0.06
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	82%	0.06	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.04
Richie Frahm	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ha Seung-Jin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	87%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Viktor Khryapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.02	20	53%	0.04	5	-0.12	3	67%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	0.02	15	50%	-0.07	2	-0.04	10	20%	-0.17

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.3	30.4	14.8	27.0	1.8	38.3	138.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +4.9%

POR -9.7%

SAC +25.8%

SAC +23.5%

SAC +5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	POR	NBA	SAC	POR	NBA
this game	14.5	15.2	15.5	122.7	118.6	104.0
season	14.7	15.8		108.1	101.2
opponent	15.6	15.6		105.4	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.7	15.2	13.4	14.7	14.5
POR	13.0	14.8	17.9	15.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corliss Williamson	66	66	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.28	13	-9	22	14.2	15.2	-1.06	15.8	13.8	2.03
Peja Stojakovic	84	86	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.41	-1	5	-6	14.4	15.2	-0.75	14.7	19.0	-4.30
Maurice Evans	29	28	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.02	11	-7	18	14.3	14.6	-0.28	17.1	14.4	2.65
Mike Bibby	81	82	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.45	-4	8	-12	14.5	14.7	-0.22	14.8	17.5	-2.70
Brian Skinner	87	85	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.36	-3	7	-10	14.6	13.5	1.12	14.9	16.9	-1.98
Darius Songaila	37	38	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	0	4	14.4	14.6	-0.25	15.8	14.8	0.95
Cuttino Mobley	75	75	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.38	-7	11	-18	14.7	13.8	0.89	14.7	16.7	-1.94
Eddie House	16	15	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.07	8	-4	12	14.7	14.5	0.22	17.5	14.8	2.70
Kenny Thomas	10	10	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.02	-1	5	-6	16.2	14.3	1.89	13.0	15.4	-2.44

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Stoudamire	55	54	0.27	-0.77	1.05	-0.08	12	-16	28	13.9	16.9	-2.95	14.6	14.3	0.32
Ha Seung-Jin	11	11	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-7	10	15.5	15.1	0.41	15.2	14.4	0.76
Richie Frahm	1	2	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-5	6	10.0	15.2	-5.24	1.0	14.8	-13.79
Travis Outlaw	46	43	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.07	-1	-3	2	15.3	15.0	0.31	15.0	14.1	0.81
Joel Przybilla	66	68	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.44	10	-14	24	14.7	16.3	-1.62	14.5	14.6	-0.12
Viktor Khryapa	15	15	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	7	-18	17.1	14.8	2.30	13.9	14.6	-0.68
Ruben Patterson	83	83	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.45	5	-9	14	14.8	17.6	-2.87	14.4	15.1	-0.66
Darius Miles	52	52	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.32	-4	0	-4	15.4	14.9	0.51	15.0	13.9	1.11
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	77	77	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.30	-15	11	-26	15.5	14.1	1.30	14.3	15.3	-1.00
Sebastian Telfair	79	80	-0.88	0.38	-1.26	-0.29	-20	16	-36	16.1	11.3	4.80	14.5	14.5	0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.75,0.77,0.6,0.49,0.48,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.15,0.11,0.04,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 99, LAL 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.41,0.4,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.04,0	92.2%
PHX 113, IND 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.25,0.22,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.22,0.29,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.15,0	92.2%
LAL 103, SAC 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.4,0.32,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.31,0.24,0.29,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.15,0	92.1%