NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	100		Excitement	4.2 [1000]		MVP	J.R. Smith (NYK): +18.5%
Boston Celtics	85		Comeback	1.4 [547]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): -9.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.16	0.03	0.00	24	60%	0.18	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Jason Kidd	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.03	4	62%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.02	6	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	56%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Pablo Prigioni	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	58%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James White	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Copeland	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	-0.07	4	10%	-0.03	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	30	42%	-0.03	3	-0.07	9	78%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	14	56%	0.10	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.02	0.02	8	62%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.06	-0.01	-0.09	11	58%	0.09	6	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Terrence Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	7	39%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
DJ White	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	0.04	6	85%	0.06	3	-0.07	1	100%	-0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	11	27%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	10	59%	0.03	6	-0.12	7	71%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	3.5	32.3	17.7	31.3	2.0	28.5	143.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +3.0%

NYK +2.7%

NYK +16.3%

NYK +25.9%

NYK +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	BOS	NBA	NYK	BOS	NBA
this game	18.4	13.6	15.4	112.4	93.4	104.1
season	16.2	14.9		107.9	101.2
opponent	16.2	15.5		101.7	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	18.6	16.5	18.1	20.6	18.4
BOS	14.1	14.8	12.1	13.7	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Smith	67	68	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.00	17	-2	19	17.7	20.6	-2.95	12.7	16.3	-3.51
Carmelo Anthony	65	66	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.01	16	-1	17	18.5	18.1	0.40	14.2	12.0	2.20
Jason Kidd	42	44	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.01	16	-1	17	18.6	18.3	0.29	13.7	13.6	0.04
Pablo Prigioni	56	56	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.11	7	8	-1	18.4	18.5	-0.16	14.2	12.7	1.50
Steve Novak	35	34	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	10	-5	18.5	18.4	0.16	13.1	14.0	-0.92
Iman Shumpert	49	52	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	12	-9	18.5	18.3	0.21	13.2	14.2	-1.04
Raymond Felton	57	60	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.02	6	9	-3	18.2	18.8	-0.67	13.9	13.1	0.82
Kenyon Martin	44	45	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	12	-9	19.6	17.2	2.37	14.5	12.8	1.73
Chris Copeland	25	25	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.04	2	13	-11	17.5	18.8	-1.25	13.2	13.8	-0.60
James White	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	21.2	18.2	2.95	10.6	13.8	-3.21

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DJ White	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-15	15	10.6	13.8	-3.21	21.2	18.2	2.95
Shavlik Randolph	9	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-15	15	14.0	13.6	0.40	21.4	18.1	3.37
Chris Wilcox	18	17	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-16	17	12.2	14.0	-1.83	17.8	18.6	-0.73
Jeff Green	74	72	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-12	9	13.4	14.6	-1.24	18.3	18.7	-0.36
Terrence Williams	43	42	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	-7	-1	12.9	14.3	-1.43	19.1	17.8	1.33
Brandon Bass	49	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	-7	-1	14.6	12.5	2.07	19.8	16.7	3.07
Jordan Crawford	81	78	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-4	-7	13.4	15.7	-2.32	18.2	19.8	-1.60
Avery Bradley	62	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.02	-14	-1	-13	14.6	11.5	3.16	18.3	18.6	-0.25
Paul Pierce	68	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.02	-14	-1	-13	13.9	12.8	1.09	18.0	19.5	-1.50
Jason Terry	46	43	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.03	-18	3	-21	13.2	14.1	-0.85	16.6	20.1	-3.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.32,0.23,0.18,0.26,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 108, VAN 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
HOU 102, SAC 80	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.19,0.23,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.25,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
DEN 96, GSW 81	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.25,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.28,0.2,0.21,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%