NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	94		Excitement	3.7 [1079]		MVP	J.R. Smith (NYK): +13.8%
New York Knicks	106		Comeback	1.0 [1283]		LVP	Arron Afflalo (ORL): -9.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Nicholson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	8	64%	0.08	3	-0.01	6	67%	0.00
DeQuan Jones	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.00	0.04	5	90%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	8	68%	0.04	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Maurice Harkless	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	13	42%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doron Lamb	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	120%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Tobias Harris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	10	70%	0.09	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	7	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.01	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Jameer Nelson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	7	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Arron Afflalo	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	9	20%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.02	-0.01	16	59%	0.14	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	8	69%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.00	14	62%	0.14	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	2	150%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	6	73%	0.07	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.01	4	70%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.04	3	83%	0.05	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	4	87%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Copeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	10	45%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.8	29.4	16.5	23.3	2.5	28.2	125.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +46.8%

NYK +1.4%

ORL -2.7%

NYK +2.7%

NYK +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NYK	NBA	ORL	NYK	NBA
this game	15.8	17.5	15.4	108.0	123.3	104.1
season	15.5	16.2		100.3	107.9
opponent	15.5	15.3		103.8	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	18.0	15.3	16.3	13.8	15.8
NYK	16.3	18.3	18.9	16.8	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle O'Quinn	48	47	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.29	15	-27	42	14.7	17.1	-2.44	16.5	18.8	-2.28
Beno Udrih	45	45	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.28	12	-24	36	14.5	17.1	-2.63	17.5	17.6	-0.07
Doron Lamb	11	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.15	5	-17	22	12.5	16.3	-3.81	17.4	17.5	-0.12
Andrew Nicholson	35	36	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.25	7	-19	26	14.0	17.0	-2.93	17.8	17.3	0.53
DeQuan Jones	35	36	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.25	7	-19	26	14.0	17.0	-2.93	17.8	17.3	0.53
Arron Afflalo	52	50	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.11	-19	7	-26	17.0	14.0	2.93	17.3	17.8	-0.53
Maurice Harkless	64	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.06	-18	6	-24	16.6	13.5	3.07	17.1	18.7	-1.59
E'Twaun Moore	50	48	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.08	-19	7	-26	16.8	14.4	2.39	18.6	16.2	2.35
Jameer Nelson	42	41	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.13	-24	12	-36	17.1	14.5	2.63	17.6	17.5	0.07
Tobias Harris	53	53	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	0.11	-26	14	-40	16.7	14.4	2.30	17.8	17.0	0.80

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carmelo Anthony	56	57	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.08	21	-9	30	17.9	16.9	1.01	16.6	14.3	2.26
J.R. Smith	68	68	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	0	12	17.9	16.1	1.79	15.3	17.4	-2.10
Kenyon Martin	48	50	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.10	20	-8	28	17.4	17.7	-0.34	17.4	13.6	3.81
Raymond Felton	42	44	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.14	21	-9	30	17.6	17.4	0.19	18.2	13.3	4.99
Pablo Prigioni	32	32	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.02	13	-1	14	18.2	17.1	1.16	18.1	14.4	3.66
Steve Novak	49	49	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.21	-3	15	-18	17.7	17.3	0.44	14.3	17.6	-3.28
Iman Shumpert	25	25	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	10	-8	17.8	17.4	0.45	16.7	15.4	1.26
Jason Kidd	44	43	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.29	-9	21	-30	17.4	17.6	-0.19	13.3	18.2	-4.99
Chris Copeland	40	41	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.16	-5	17	-22	16.1	18.8	-2.66	13.8	17.6	-3.78
James White	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.15	-5	17	-22	16.6	17.7	-1.07	13.4	16.2	-2.74
Marcus Camby	13	14	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.12	-7	19	-26	16.8	17.7	-0.89	15.1	15.9	-0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.58,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.61,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 82, ORL 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
GSW 93, SEA 110	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
CHI 86, NYK 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,0.97,0.99,0.92,1,1,1	95.6%