inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 127 Excitement3.6 [1104] MVPDarren Collison (DAL): +16.5%
Atlanta Hawks 113 Comeback1.3 [446] LVPJosh Smith (ATL): -4.8%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Darren Collison0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.000.011477%0.181-0.02367%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0.140,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.180.010.041179%0.1400.006100%0.02
Chris Kaman0.060,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.07-0.000.021164%0.0600.0000%0.00
Vince Carter0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.080.000.02972%0.071-0.0200%0.00
O.J. Mayo0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.12-0.000.061177%0.081-0.0300%0.00
Mike James0.040,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.00-0.03590%0.104-0.0600%0.00
Brandan Wright0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.000.00960%0.051-0.022100%0.00
Anthony Morrow0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.060.010.04480%0.0300.002100%0.00
Chris Wright0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Bernard James0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Elton Brand-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01444%0.021-0.0210%-0.01
Jae Crowder-0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.110.00-0.07922%-0.022-0.0200%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Tolliver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.120.000.024120%0.131-0.022100%0.01
Kyle Korver0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.00-0.01773%0.071-0.001100%0.00
John Jenkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.060.000.03762%0.0300.002100%0.00
Devin Harris0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.000.01762%0.041-0.02250%-0.01
Al Horford0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.00-0.031450%0.032-0.01450%-0.02
Ivan Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.03567%0.031-0.02580%-0.00
Mike Scott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shelvin Mack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.00275%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Dahntay Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.040.000.06470%-0.0110.00250%-0.00
Jeff Teague0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.020.000.041358%0.043-0.06771%-0.00
Josh Smith0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.011150%0.034-0.08475%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game20.41.728.215.526.56.431.3129.9
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +33.3%
DAL +0.5%
DAL +9.5%
DAL +4.2%
DAL +2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALATLNBADALATLNBA
this game14.814.915.4130.9116.5104.1
season14.515.1104.3102.6
opponent15.515.6102.8105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL14.013.616.115.414.8
ATL16.014.714.514.614.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brandan Wright39390.310.190.11-0.1315-11615.914.01.9615.514.51.00
Vince Carter47500.300.200.11-0.02113814.614.9-0.2615.014.90.17
Darren Collison61600.300.200.110.1368-215.213.91.2914.415.8-1.37
Dirk Nowitzki64620.300.200.09-0.03113813.916.5-2.5815.014.90.13
Mike James47470.250.25-0.00-0.0195414.415.1-0.6315.714.21.56
Anthony Morrow29280.240.26-0.03-0.0395414.314.9-0.5814.515.1-0.62
Chris Kaman43430.230.27-0.030.0377014.315.1-0.8915.714.41.32
Jae Crowder56540.210.29-0.080.0659-414.814.60.2115.014.90.14
O.J. Mayo61620.200.30-0.090.12311-815.313.91.3715.014.80.26
Elton Brand24260.150.35-0.190.04410-615.514.51.0514.715.0-0.34
Chris Wright770.000.50-0.500.15-519-2413.414.9-1.4310.715.3-4.55
Bernard James770.000.50-0.500.15-519-2413.414.9-1.4310.715.3-4.55

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Scott1111-0.00-0.500.50-0.124-182212.215.3-3.1115.014.70.28
Shelvin Mack1111-0.00-0.500.50-0.124-182212.215.3-3.1115.014.70.28
John Jenkins5556-0.17-0.330.16-0.170-141414.116.0-1.9114.814.70.08
Kyle Korver5554-0.17-0.330.16-0.08-3-11815.414.40.9814.914.60.27
Dahntay Jones2624-0.19-0.310.11-0.02-6-8213.915.3-1.3915.114.60.49
Ivan Johnson3131-0.26-0.24-0.020.06-11-3-815.114.80.2814.714.8-0.06
Jeff Teague6664-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.11-5-9415.114.70.3814.814.70.13
Devin Harris4548-0.31-0.19-0.120.10-140-1415.914.11.8614.614.9-0.25
Josh Smith6462-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.05-10-4-614.715.3-0.5514.515.3-0.83
Al Horford7173-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.01-13-1-1215.812.73.0714.715.0-0.27
Anthony Tolliver5051-0.40-0.10-0.310.07-162-1815.014.90.1714.914.60.23


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 106, WAS 990.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,096.5%
SAS 86, MIA 700.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.2%
SAC 101, NOH 900.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.1%