NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	77		Excitement	5.1 [787]		MVP	Tyler Hansbrough (IND): +8.6%
Indiana Pacers	101		Comeback	1.7 [733]		LVP	Brendan Haywood (CHA): -19.6%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Taylor	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	-0.00	-0.06	4	60%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Byron Mullens	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	19	50%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Reggie Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ben Gordon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	9	38%	-0.02	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Kemba Walker	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	9	40%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ramon Sessions	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	0.04	9	54%	0.01	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.02
Bismack Biyombo	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.03	-0.04	7	25%	-0.08	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.04
Jeff Adrien	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.15	-0.04	-0.00	6	0%	-0.15	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.03	0.02	13	59%	0.09	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.03	-0.03	3	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	-0.01	0.05	17	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Orlando Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	5	43%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Sam Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ben Hansbrough	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	56%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	8	62%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.09	10	55%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.04	-0.04	12	21%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	36.5	15.4	25.3	2.5	28.2	133.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +29.1%

CHA -4.7%

IND +6.6%

IND +21.6%

CHA -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	IND	NBA	CHA	IND	NBA
this game	16.1	15.6	15.4	84.6	111.0	104.1
season	15.6	16.1		99.9	102.4
opponent	15.5	15.4		99.0	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	17.5	16.3	15.0	15.5	16.1
IND	15.3	15.7	18.4	13.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Williams	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-23	22	16.6	16.0	0.56	13.6	15.8	-2.19
Brendan Haywood	20	20	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-25	26	15.9	16.1	-0.20	15.4	15.6	-0.18
Jeff Adrien	28	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-21	18	15.3	16.4	-1.06	16.3	15.3	1.00
Jeff Taylor	41	39	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.09	-8	-16	8	16.6	15.6	0.92	14.8	16.2	-1.35
Ben Gordon	33	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	-18	12	15.4	16.4	-0.99	14.7	16.1	-1.45
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	35	35	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.04	-7	-17	10	16.9	15.5	1.40	16.3	15.1	1.17
Ramon Sessions	48	50	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.12	-13	-11	-2	15.1	17.1	-2.01	15.1	16.2	-1.18
Kemba Walker	55	54	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.20	-18	-6	-12	16.3	15.7	0.60	16.3	14.5	1.77
Bismack Biyombo	68	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.30	-23	-1	-22	16.4	15.1	1.24	15.7	15.2	0.58
Gerald Henderson	54	55	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.12	-19	-5	-14	16.0	16.1	-0.04	16.3	14.6	1.72
Byron Mullens	66	66	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.21	-23	-1	-22	16.1	16.0	0.13	15.2	16.7	-1.50

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	75	75	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.21	28	-4	32	15.5	16.2	-0.80	16.0	16.4	-0.46
George Hill	60	60	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.24	24	0	24	16.2	14.4	1.78	16.4	15.4	0.96
Ian Mahinmi	50	50	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.22	21	3	18	15.6	15.6	-0.03	15.5	16.7	-1.14
Tyler Hansbrough	42	42	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	12	0	17.6	13.9	3.67	17.2	15.1	2.15
Lance Stephenson	45	46	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.05	9	15	-6	17.5	13.7	3.79	17.3	14.8	2.57
Orlando Johnson	39	38	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.23	14	10	4	13.7	17.0	-3.24	14.4	17.2	-2.81
Jeff Ayres	49	49	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.23	12	12	0	13.9	17.6	-3.67	15.1	17.2	-2.15
Roy Hibbert	34	34	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.04	2	22	-20	16.0	15.3	0.70	16.7	15.7	1.04
D.J. Augustin	24	24	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	25	-26	14.7	15.9	-1.26	15.1	16.4	-1.32
Sam Young	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	23	-22	13.6	15.8	-2.19	16.6	16.0	0.56
Ben Hansbrough	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	23	-22	13.6	15.8	-2.19	16.6	16.0	0.56
Miles Plumlee	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	23	-22	13.6	15.8	-2.19	16.6	16.0	0.56
Gerald Green	16	16	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	28	-32	16.2	15.5	0.80	16.4	16.0	0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.75,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 110, DAL 122	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.83,0.88,0.82,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
MIA 86, MEM 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.59,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
NYK 79, ATL 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.74,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,1	95.6%