NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	91		Excitement	8.3 [208]		MVP	Ramon Sessions (CHA): +28.9%
Charlotte Bobcats	94		Comeback	15.1 [82]		LVP	Avery Bradley (BOS): -25.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2	0.06	0.14	0.00	8	71%	0.24	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Jeff Green	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.05	0.00	8	78%	0.22	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.04
Chris Wilcox	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	4	80%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Brandon Bass	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Jason Collins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Courtney Lee	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	6	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.04,0,-0.08,-0.08,0.1,0.09,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	13	47%	0.02	1	-0.08	8	75%	-0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	12	46%	-0.05	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Avery Bradley	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.26	-0.07	-0.18	0.01	11	36%	-0.18	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.08,0.29	0.29	0.08	0.21	0.00	11	63%	0.35	1	-0.06	8	75%	0.02
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.00	0.12	-0.01	15	46%	0.16	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Byron Mullens	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.03	0.04	16	69%	0.16	3	-0.07	4	25%	-0.05
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	45%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.01	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jeff Adrien	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.09	0.01	15	50%	-0.03	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.05
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	6	25%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.4	31.5	15.6	32.3	0.8	35.2	140.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +27.1%

CHA +9.8%

CHA +13.4%

CHA +3.7%

BOS -3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHA	NBA	BOS	CHA	NBA
this game	16.1	15.6	15.4	101.1	102.2	104.1
season	14.9	15.6		101.2	99.9
opponent	15.4	16.2		109.8	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	17.0	15.5	15.8	16.1	16.1
CHA	15.8	15.1	14.8	16.6	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	23	26	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.09	7	-10	17	16.3	16.0	0.27	15.4	15.6	-0.18
Jeff Green	46	46	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.21	10	-13	23	16.2	16.0	0.20	15.1	16.0	-0.98
Leandro Barbosa	23	24	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.04	2	-5	7	16.7	15.9	0.86	14.7	15.9	-1.14
Chris Wilcox	33	33	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-2	1	17.1	15.5	1.61	14.4	16.2	-1.76
Jason Terry	53	54	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.24	4	-7	11	17.0	14.8	2.19	15.3	16.0	-0.71
Avery Bradley	66	67	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.13	-3	0	-3	15.9	16.5	-0.60	16.1	14.2	1.86
Courtney Lee	37	38	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.17	-7	4	-11	14.8	17.0	-2.19	16.0	15.3	0.71
Brandon Bass	59	59	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.19	-10	7	-17	15.7	16.9	-1.27	16.6	13.7	2.90
Kevin Garnett	54	55	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.33	-7	4	-11	15.9	16.5	-0.62	15.8	15.2	0.57
Paul Pierce	56	58	-0.87	0.37	-1.25	-0.58	-10	7	-17	16.0	16.3	-0.36	15.1	16.3	-1.13

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bismack Biyombo	68	67	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.36	13	-10	23	15.9	14.5	1.43	16.1	16.2	-0.10
Kemba Walker	68	67	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.39	11	-8	19	16.1	14.0	2.05	15.7	17.2	-1.50
Gerald Henderson	65	65	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.46	6	-3	9	16.1	14.2	1.89	15.5	17.7	-2.24
Byron Mullens	79	80	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.42	5	-2	7	16.2	11.4	4.86	16.0	17.0	-1.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	27	27	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.24	11	-8	19	15.9	15.4	0.42	16.5	15.9	0.54
Jeff Taylor	29	26	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.25	1	2	-1	13.4	16.6	-3.18	17.5	15.5	1.97
Jeff Adrien	13	10	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	5	-7	11.4	16.2	-4.86	17.0	16.0	1.01
Brendan Haywood	24	23	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.05	-10	13	-23	14.5	15.9	-1.43	16.2	16.1	0.10
Ben Gordon	28	26	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	0.03	-10	13	-23	14.8	15.9	-1.05	17.0	15.7	1.21
Ramon Sessions	59	59	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	-0.13	-10	13	-23	15.6	15.5	0.16	16.1	16.2	-0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.29,0.47,0.28,0.16,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 93, PHX 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.43,0.38,0.15,0.17,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.03,1	91.4%
SAC 108, CHA 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.39,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.28,0.15,0.27,1	90.9%
DAL 105, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.51,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.33,0.23,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.32,0.23,0.45,0.42,1	90.8%