NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	104		Excitement	6.9 [421]		MVP	Danny Green (SAS): +55.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	94		Comeback	1.4 [834]		LVP	Ricky Rubio (MIN): -22.1%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Green	0.55	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.34,0.4,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55	0.24	0.30	-0.01	14	90%	0.59	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Kawhi Leonard	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.06	0.02	13	66%	0.15	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Matt Bonner	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0	0.09	-0.01	0.07	23	56%	0.05	2	-0.04	9	100%	0.02
Tiago Splitter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.03	5	75%	0.12	4	-0.12	6	100%	0.04
Patty Mills	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nando De Colo	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	8	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mickael Gelabale	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.07	0.11	-0.01	7	71%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	9	70%	0.17	4	-0.11	12	92%	0.06
Derrick Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.01	12	54%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	15	50%	0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Greg Stiemsma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	60%	0.02	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	7	62%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alexey Shved	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	9	39%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.14	-0.07	0.02	13	30%	-0.13	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.8	29.1	17.4	26.4	3.3	34.6	138.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +41.1%

SAS +3.6%

MIN -5.4%

SAS +8.3%

SAS +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	MIN	NBA	SAS	MIN	NBA
this game	14.2	15.2	15.4	105.1	96.9	104.1
season	15.2	15.6		106.4	101.3
opponent	14.9	15.1		103.4	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	12.7	16.3	13.8	14.4	14.2
MIN	15.0	15.0	15.6	15.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Green	67	66	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.15	17	-7	24	14.1	14.4	-0.32	15.9	13.6	2.25
Kawhi Leonard	64	63	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.24	14	-4	18	13.8	15.0	-1.25	15.9	13.9	1.99
Boris Diaw	57	56	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.07	15	-5	20	12.2	17.0	-4.74	14.8	15.7	-0.92
Tony Parker	75	73	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.02	12	-2	14	13.7	16.0	-2.35	14.8	16.3	-1.54
Tiago Splitter	50	50	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.15	5	5	0	14.0	14.4	-0.45	16.0	14.3	1.66
Nando De Colo	26	26	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	7	-4	14.3	14.2	0.06	16.0	14.9	1.18
Matt Bonner	44	43	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.17	-2	12	-14	17.0	12.0	5.00	15.9	14.6	1.36
Aron Baynes	25	25	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.01	3	7	-4	12.5	14.8	-2.28	11.7	16.4	-4.66
Patty Mills	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	11	-12	7.4	14.6	-7.19	6.7	15.5	-8.79
DeJuan Blair	21	19	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	11	-12	17.1	13.4	3.65	16.7	14.8	1.94
Stephen Jackson	33	32	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.01	-5	15	-20	15.7	13.5	2.17	14.6	15.5	-0.87
Gary Neal	28	28	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.14	-10	20	-30	16.0	13.5	2.43	14.2	15.6	-1.40

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Stiemsma	19	20	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.09	1	-11	12	16.5	14.9	1.61	18.3	13.2	5.17
Alexey Shved	33	34	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-7	4	16.2	14.7	1.53	15.8	13.4	2.35
Mickael Gelabale	68	68	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.14	0	-10	10	15.6	14.1	1.58	14.1	14.5	-0.43
Luke Ridnour	60	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.01	-8	-2	-6	13.9	17.2	-3.26	13.0	16.1	-3.10
Nikola Pekovic	75	75	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.07	-6	-4	-2	14.7	16.9	-2.18	13.2	17.4	-4.22
Derrick Williams	56	56	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-6	2	15.5	14.7	0.77	14.0	14.6	-0.59
Ricky Rubio	75	77	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-5	0	14.8	16.4	-1.60	14.1	14.5	-0.42
Jose Juan Barea	49	51	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.14	-10	0	-10	15.3	15.0	0.31	14.7	13.7	0.92
Dante Cunningham	50	53	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.18	-15	5	-20	15.6	14.7	0.96	14.6	13.7	0.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.34,0.3,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.29,0.17,0.11,0.22,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 105, TOR 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.34,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.36,0.28,0.14,0.07,0.03,0.01,0	93.8%
WAS 103, CHA 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.19,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.02,0	92.6%
UTA 97, HOU 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.28,0.19,0.02,0.01,0,0	92.6%