NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	99		Excitement	6.5 [496]		MVP	Vince Carter (DAL): +11.2%
Dallas Mavericks	105		Comeback	3.6 [495]		LVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): -5.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.02	0.02	22	54%	0.09	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Damian Lillard	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.02	-0.01	17	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Wesley Matthews	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03	0.10	-0.03	0.04	16	62%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Meyers Leonard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	75%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Claver	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nolan Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.06	-0.02	9	61%	0.02	3	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0.02	8	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.13,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.10	-0.00	15	53%	0.17	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.05
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.19	-0.06	0.03	14	90%	0.24	4	-0.14	3	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.07	0.00	13	50%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	3	62%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Rodrigue Beaubois	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	4	64%	0.05	1	-0.03	6	67%	0.00
Bernard James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	7	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	8	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	19	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.7	30.0	15.8	24.2	2.4	38.4	134.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +52.6%

POR -14.6%

DAL +24.5%

POR -14.8%

DAL +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DAL	NBA	POR	DAL	NBA
this game	16.2	15.1	15.4	107.6	114.1	104.1
season	15.8	14.5		104.3	104.3
opponent	15.6	15.3		105.0	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.3	17.2	16.0	15.2	16.2
DAL	13.1	14.1	16.0	17.5	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	20	20	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.09	4	-10	14	14.9	16.5	-1.63	14.7	15.2	-0.49
Will Barton	19	19	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-5	4	15.6	16.3	-0.75	14.0	15.4	-1.42
Nicolas Batum	79	80	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.23	5	-11	16	15.9	17.5	-1.59	14.9	16.3	-1.38
Damian Lillard	75	76	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.33	8	-14	22	15.9	17.3	-1.37	14.9	16.3	-1.43
Meyers Leonard	6	6	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	-1	-4	15.8	16.2	-0.36	13.5	15.2	-1.74
Luke Babbitt	22	22	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.15	-3	-3	0	14.5	16.7	-2.14	14.0	15.5	-1.43
LaMarcus Aldridge	76	75	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	3	-12	16.2	15.8	0.44	14.9	16.1	-1.14
JJ Hickson	60	61	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.44	3	-9	12	17.1	14.4	2.76	16.1	13.3	2.78
Nolan Smith	17	16	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.06	-16	10	-26	17.3	15.9	1.37	16.3	14.9	1.43
Victor Claver	17	16	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.19	-9	3	-12	16.4	16.1	0.22	18.2	14.5	3.78
Wesley Matthews	69	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.25	-7	1	-8	16.6	15.0	1.51	14.9	15.7	-0.81

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
O.J. Mayo	74	75	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.21	15	-9	24	15.1	15.1	0.09	16.7	13.7	3.03
Bernard James	33	33	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.15	9	-3	12	15.1	15.1	-0.01	17.6	15.4	2.23
Vince Carter	51	50	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.10	8	-2	10	15.0	15.3	-0.29	15.1	17.4	-2.26
Rodrigue Beaubois	37	39	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.02	10	-4	14	14.8	15.3	-0.49	14.7	17.3	-2.62
Darren Collison	58	57	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.32	-3	9	-12	14.6	16.0	-1.38	16.3	15.9	0.37
Shawn Marion	61	60	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.25	-1	7	-8	14.4	16.5	-2.09	16.5	15.5	0.99
Dirk Nowitzki	65	64	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.30	-3	9	-12	15.6	14.1	1.44	16.7	15.1	1.58
Elton Brand	53	52	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.21	-4	10	-14	15.8	14.2	1.65	15.8	16.7	-0.89
Jae Crowder	25	26	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.11	-1	7	-8	16.0	14.8	1.14	15.1	16.6	-1.48
Brandan Wright	3	4	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	6	-6	16.3	15.1	1.24	18.5	16.1	2.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.35,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.35,0.37,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.37,0.22,0.42,0.43,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.86,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.87,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 103, WAS 114	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.87,0.97,0.93,1,1,1	93.2%
MEM 87, HOU 90	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.66,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.95,1	93.1%
MIA 84, DET 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.27,0.38,0.34,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.45,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1	92.2%