NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	96		Excitement	6.5 [497]		MVP	Trevor Ariza (WAS): +31.4%
Washington Wizards	106		Comeback	2.6 [299]		LVP	A.J. Price (WAS): -7.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	11	61%	0.15	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.03
Raymond Felton	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	13	61%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	23	57%	0.12	5	-0.09	8	87%	0.03
Tyson Chandler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	6	57%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pablo Prigioni	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	14	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Iman Shumpert	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	8	31%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.20	0.12	0.01	11	87%	0.31	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Chris Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.11	0.00	5	83%	0.19	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.16	0.01	0.01	11	79%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.01	9	65%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	11	55%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.01	0.02	18	51%	0.09	6	-0.16	5	100%	0.02
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.3	28.6	15.8	23.0	2.5	31.3	127.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +74.7%

NYK -4.8%

NYK -13.9%

NYK -7.5%

WAS +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	WAS	NBA	NYK	WAS	NBA
this game	16.3	15.8	15.4	106.7	119.1	104.1
season	16.2	15.1		107.9	98.8
opponent	15.7	15.5		101.2	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.3	17.8	16.0	16.5	16.3
WAS	16.0	17.4	14.0	16.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raymond Felton	77	75	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.13	1	-11	12	16.3	16.8	-0.59	15.5	17.8	-2.32
Iman Shumpert	41	40	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.04	-6	-4	-2	16.1	16.5	-0.41	16.3	15.4	0.94
Steve Novak	19	20	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	-6	2	14.7	16.8	-2.10	16.6	15.6	0.99
Jason Kidd	36	35	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.06	-11	1	-12	17.0	15.9	1.14	13.7	17.2	-3.58
J.R. Smith	62	62	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.22	-2	-8	6	15.7	17.7	-1.99	16.9	13.4	3.48
Tyson Chandler	69	66	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-5	0	16.9	14.6	2.25	15.8	16.0	-0.29
Amar'e Stoudemire	50	50	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-7	4	17.2	15.3	1.93	16.3	15.3	0.98
Pablo Prigioni	13	14	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.08	-11	1	-12	16.8	16.3	0.59	17.8	15.5	2.32
Carmelo Anthony	83	83	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.23	-9	-1	-8	16.0	19.9	-3.81	15.3	22.8	-7.51

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Wall	73	74	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.21	21	-11	32	15.5	17.6	-2.11	16.4	15.9	0.49
Martell Webster	80	81	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.16	14	-4	18	15.4	19.9	-4.51	16.0	19.6	-3.57
Nene	53	52	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.11	10	0	10	15.0	17.0	-2.01	17.0	15.4	1.60
Trevor Ariza	60	61	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.16	8	2	6	16.3	14.9	1.34	16.2	16.6	-0.36
Chris Singleton	41	41	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.19	5	5	0	16.1	15.6	0.54	15.9	16.7	-0.81
Garrett Temple	32	34	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.01	7	3	4	14.9	16.4	-1.44	15.3	17.0	-1.64
Kevin Seraphin	34	35	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	10	-10	16.6	15.3	1.27	16.4	16.3	0.09
Emeka Okafor	47	47	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.07	0	10	-10	16.0	15.6	0.36	16.8	15.8	1.02
Jordan Crawford	18	18	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	7	-4	17.1	15.5	1.60	17.8	16.0	1.86
A.J. Price	16	16	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	-0.00	-11	21	-32	17.6	15.5	2.11	15.9	16.4	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.32,0.38,0.62,0.71,0.83,0.88,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 95, DET 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.78,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.9,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1	92.8%
HOU 104, POR 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.73,0.73,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.66,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.69,0.93,1,1,1	92.7%
MIL 104, NOP 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.55,0.44,0.33,0.36,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.78,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,1	92.5%