NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	86		Excitement	7.3 [356]		MVP	Michael Beasley (PHX): +36.6%
Phoenix Suns	92		Comeback	16.3 [43]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -24.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.04	0.00	6	108%	0.19	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	8	55%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jodie Meeks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	9	45%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	17	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Earl Clark	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	4	42%	-0.02	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Pau Gasol	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	13	45%	0.05	4	-0.17	5	40%	-0.03
Kobe Bryant	-0.24	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.24,-0.32,-0.13,-0.24	-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	17	45%	-0.00	6	-0.24	4	75%	0.05

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.37	0.37	0.11	0.25	-0.01	20	63%	0.47	3	-0.10	3	67%	-0.02
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	13	54%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.03	0.03	10	46%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.03	0.01	10	55%	0.14	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.03
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	44%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	3.4	27.3	17.8	26.3	3.5	37.2	142.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +45.4%

LAL -4.3%

LAL -18.0%

PHX +27.7%

LAL -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHX	NBA	LAL	PHX	NBA
this game	16.2	14.8	15.4	92.5	98.9	104.1
season	14.9	15.2		106.0	99.7
opponent	15.1	15.3		106.3	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.7	16.6	16.5	18.4	16.2
PHX	14.0	16.1	16.2	12.9	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	56	55	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.05	5	-11	16	16.2	16.2	-0.05	14.9	14.5	0.47
Steve Blake	32	32	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.04	2	-8	10	16.2	16.2	0.01	15.0	14.6	0.42
Antawn Jamison	24	24	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.09	0	-6	6	16.5	16.1	0.38	15.2	14.6	0.56
Jodie Meeks	18	18	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.02	2	-8	10	18.2	15.7	2.42	14.4	14.8	-0.45
Pau Gasol	71	72	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.37	-5	-1	-4	16.6	14.9	1.71	14.6	15.4	-0.81
Kobe Bryant	75	75	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.34	-8	2	-10	15.7	18.2	-2.42	14.8	14.4	0.45
Steve Nash	65	65	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.36	-8	2	-10	16.1	16.5	-0.36	14.8	14.7	0.05
Metta World Peace	65	64	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.38	-8	2	-10	16.2	16.3	-0.15	14.5	15.4	-0.91
Earl Clark	59	60	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.37	-10	4	-14	15.8	16.9	-1.14	14.8	14.7	0.04

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
PJ Tucker	61	61	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.39	14	-8	22	14.7	14.8	-0.09	15.7	17.2	-1.53
Michael Beasley	67	67	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.35	15	-9	24	14.1	16.5	-2.37	16.3	15.9	0.46
Goran Dragic	73	72	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.38	8	-2	10	14.5	15.6	-1.08	15.8	17.8	-2.00
Luis Scola	59	59	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	2	2	14.8	14.7	0.12	17.1	14.7	2.38
Jared Dudley	59	60	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.41	3	3	0	14.8	14.6	0.17	16.2	16.2	-0.04
Sebastian Telfair	20	21	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.06	-2	8	-10	15.6	14.5	1.08	17.8	15.8	2.00
Shannon Brown	41	41	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.15	-1	7	-8	15.0	14.6	0.40	16.8	15.8	0.97
Marcin Gortat	57	57	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.10	-3	9	-12	15.4	13.8	1.55	15.3	17.7	-2.41
Markieff Morris	28	27	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.02	-8	14	-22	14.6	14.8	-0.16	16.4	16.2	0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.12,0.17,0.21,0.13,0.16,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.45,0.77,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 95, DAL 98	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.16,0.38,0.24,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.24,0.45,0.84,0.73,1	92.5%
CLE 99, DET 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.5,0.4,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.24,0.16,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.34,0.25,0.21,0.55,0.58,1	91.8%
CHI 74, PHI 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.33,0.39,0.27,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.25,0.46,0.55,0.91,1	91.5%