NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	110		Excitement	6.9 [430]		MVP	Danilo Gallinari (DEN): +23.1%
Denver Nuggets	118		Comeback	3.8 [459]		LVP	Omer Asik (HOU): -15.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Patterson	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	6	71%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Morris	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	6	42%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Chandler Parsons	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.02	0.04	13	72%	0.17	4	-0.16	3	67%	-0.01
James Harden	0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0	-0.05	-0.01	-0.06	13	55%	0.16	6	-0.16	12	67%	-0.03
Toney Douglas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	11	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Greg Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.07	-0.03	0.08	15	58%	-0.01	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.01
Omer Asik	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.07	-0.03	7	56%	0.04	7	-0.19	4	50%	-0.02

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.11	0.12	0.01	17	67%	0.28	3	-0.05	6	50%	-0.04
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.06	-0.00	8	79%	0.19	2	-0.02	8	87%	0.03
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.09	-0.00	9	67%	0.18	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.10	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	3	100%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	9	39%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	39%	-0.00	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.03
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	0.06	12	50%	-0.05	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	13	47%	-0.01	6	-0.13	6	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.8	33.3	15.5	29.4	2.3	36.4	142.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +22.7%

DEN +2.5%

DEN +5.6%

DEN +20.6%

HOU -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DEN	NBA	HOU	DEN	NBA
this game	12.9	14.0	15.4	102.8	110.3	104.1
season	14.2	14.4		107.9	108.4
opponent	15.4	15.4		104.0	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	12.1	13.2	15.5	11.4	12.9
DEN	13.6	14.5	14.5	13.4	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omer Asik	77	80	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.20	7	-15	22	12.9	13.0	-0.09	13.4	15.8	-2.45
Greg Smith	15	13	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-6	4	13.7	12.8	0.93	16.7	13.6	3.09
Marcus Morris	39	38	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	-2	-4	13.6	12.5	1.11	13.6	14.2	-0.62
Toney Douglas	41	41	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.00	-8	0	-8	13.8	12.4	1.37	14.7	13.5	1.18
Patrick Patterson	57	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-2	-4	13.2	12.6	0.59	15.2	12.6	2.59
James Harden	92	94	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	-5	2	12.9	13.4	-0.54	14.1	13.3	0.77
Jeremy Lin	71	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-3	-2	12.4	14.0	-1.61	13.7	14.5	-0.82
Chandler Parsons	85	85	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.33	-7	-1	-6	12.4	14.8	-2.37	13.9	14.5	-0.60
Carlos Delfino	58	57	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.26	-10	2	-12	12.9	13.0	-0.05	13.1	14.9	-1.80

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	54	54	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.11	22	-14	36	14.5	13.4	1.08	13.3	12.5	0.77
Kenneth Faried	72	73	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.32	14	-6	20	14.5	12.9	1.59	13.0	12.9	0.08
Danilo Gallinari	77	76	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.32	8	0	8	14.2	13.3	0.95	12.4	14.1	-1.68
Wilson Chandler	56	57	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.26	5	3	2	13.3	14.7	-1.42	13.4	12.4	0.97
Corey Brewer	45	47	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	4	0	13.6	14.3	-0.66	12.7	13.1	-0.38
Ty Lawson	76	75	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.15	-1	9	-10	13.9	14.2	-0.34	12.4	14.2	-1.74
Timofey Mozgov	30	29	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.03	-2	10	-12	14.1	13.9	0.12	13.1	12.9	0.28
Andre Iguodala	83	82	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.12	-7	15	-22	13.4	16.0	-2.55	13.1	12.3	0.80
Kosta Koufos	43	43	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.02	-5	13	-18	14.3	13.8	0.50	13.2	12.7	0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.21,0.38,0.52,0.62,0.75,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.9,0.95,0.9,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 80, SAS 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.25,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.62,0.71,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.9,1	93.5%
CLE 102, ATL 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.2,0.28,0.42,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.98,1	92.9%
DEN 86, ORL 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.35,0.48,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.99,1,1,1	92.7%