NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	103		Excitement	7.9 [269]		MVP	Rudy Gay (MEM): +35.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	100		Comeback	9.2 [153]		LVP	Tony Allen (MEM): -22.4%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0.36	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.36	0.10	0.26	0.01	17	68%	0.44	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.01
Marc Gasol	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.34,0.25,0.17,0.17	0.14	0.04	0.00	15	75%	0.33	3	-0.15	6	100%	0.03
Chris Johnson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	4	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Wroten	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.01	2	86%	0.13	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Darrell Arthur	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	7	37%	-0.00	1	-0.08	2	0%	-0.02
Zach Randolph	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.1	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	7	29%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.12	0.07	-0.18	0.01	15	62%	-0.07	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	-0.22	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.09	-0.12	0.01	6	42%	-0.04	4	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.14	0.12	-0.02	18	67%	0.30	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	2	150%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,-0.06	-0.06	0.09	-0.16	-0.01	19	57%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	19	47%	0.10	4	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.12	-0.12	0.01	-0.11	0.02	13	48%	-0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.8	26.1	13.7	24.2	2.4	30.3	124.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +33.5%

MEM +7.0%

MEM +45.3%

PHI -35.7%

PHI -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	PHI	NBA	MEM	PHI	NBA
this game	16.9	15.3	15.4	115.7	111.1	104.1
season	16.5	15.5		102.9	100.5
opponent	15.7	15.5		104.2	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	18.3	16.9	15.0	17.8	16.9
PHI	15.2	15.8	14.4	15.8	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Gasol	80	83	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.49	9	-6	15	16.5	20.3	-3.82	15.2	16.9	-1.70
Rudy Gay	74	76	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.56	5	-2	7	16.9	16.9	-0.04	15.3	15.3	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	77	77	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.44	7	-4	11	17.2	15.2	2.00	15.3	15.5	-0.20
Darrell Arthur	46	46	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.39	6	-3	9	16.2	17.6	-1.41	15.8	14.8	0.97
Zach Randolph	59	59	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.45	-3	6	-9	17.8	15.2	2.56	15.4	15.1	0.29
Chris Johnson	46	47	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.24	19	-16	35	17.2	16.6	0.61	15.5	15.0	0.46
Tony Allen	46	45	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.63	-18	21	-39	16.7	17.1	-0.42	15.0	15.6	-0.53
Tony Wroten	24	25	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.16	-4	7	-11	15.9	17.3	-1.40	15.4	15.2	0.21

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Royal Ivey	33	31	0.29	-0.79	1.08	0.35	-2	-1	-1	15.3	15.3	-0.03	16.9	16.9	0.06
Kwame Brown	22	22	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-4	5	14.3	15.6	-1.28	15.4	17.4	-2.04
Damien Wilkins	30	27	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.23	-8	5	-13	14.3	15.8	-1.43	17.3	16.7	0.57
Shelvin Mack	1	1	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	0	-3	0.0	15.5	-15.46	16.0	16.9	-0.91
Lavoy Allen	17	16	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-1	-1	15.9	15.2	0.73	12.9	17.8	-4.83
Thaddeus Young	73	72	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.44	7	-10	17	15.6	14.1	1.52	17.4	14.6	2.78
Evan Turner	73	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.52	5	-8	13	15.3	15.1	0.21	16.8	17.1	-0.28
Jrue Holiday	74	75	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.50	-2	-1	-1	15.3	15.4	-0.10	17.2	15.4	1.74
Spencer Hawes	64	66	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.49	-5	2	-7	15.7	14.3	1.38	17.9	13.9	4.03
Nick Young	62	62	-0.88	0.38	-1.25	-0.76	-4	1	-5	15.6	14.5	1.15	16.3	18.3	-2.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.71,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.75,0.72,0.84,0.84,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 88, NYK 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.84,0	89.6%
UTA 99, LAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.48,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.75,0.79,0.68,0.59,0	89.2%
CLE 98, LAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.34,0.3,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.58,0	89.0%