inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 98 Excitement14.0 [6] MVPKevin Garnett (BOS): +11.1%
Boston Celtics 100 Comeback6.0 [165] LVPDwyane Wade (MIA): -77.2%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.42,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.25,0.030.03-0.02-0.023151%0.143-0.11560%0.00
Joel Anthony0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Norris Cole-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00650%0.021-0.0400%0.00
Rashard Lewis-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Chris Bosh-0.100,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.03-0.060.011262%0.125-0.222100%0.01
Ray Allen-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.130.03-0.16-0.001751%0.061-0.19771%-0.03
Mario Chalmers-0.160,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.11-0.06-0.0130%-0.093-0.0700%0.00
Shane Battier-0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2-0.03-0.170.00333%-0.181-0.0200%0.00
Dwyane Wade-0.770,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.23,-0.27,-0.33,-0.33,-0.38,-0.38,-0.51,-0.51,-0.59,-0.68,-0.68,-0.77-0.19-0.60-0.012037%-0.416-0.36683%0.01

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Garnett0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.11,0.110.110.070.040.011956%0.121-0.01580%0.03
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0.10.10-0.010.10-0.001246%0.141-0.044100%0.09
Avery Bradley0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.020.01850%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Chris Wilcox00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeff Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.010.00861%0.133-0.132100%0.02
Brandon Bass0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.010.00543%-0.0100.004100%0.03
Jared Sullinger0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.010.01558%0.011-0.03250%-0.01
Leandro Barbosa0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.02-0.06-0.02856%0.051-0.0700%0.00
Courtney Lee0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.030.00725%-0.0900.002100%0.01
Paul Pierce0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.34,-0.34,-0.48,-0.48,-0.48,-0.59,-0.59,-0.36-0.36-0.12-0.25-0.011645%-0.026-0.35667%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2Total
this game24.23.433.217.828.12.741.11.79.71.617.0180.4
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.12.017.32.017.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +50.1%
BOS +22.2%
MIA -47.7%
BOS +35.2%
MIA -9.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIABOSNBAMIABOSNBA
this game17.515.315.491.695.2104.1
season15.714.9110.2101.2
opponent16.215.9101.7102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA17.317.518.115.220.417.5
BOS14.715.317.114.814.515.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Norris Cole24230.29-0.791.070.029-112018.317.30.9915.015.4-0.31
Udonis Haslem26260.01-0.510.52-0.052-4618.817.11.7016.914.72.18
Joel Anthony2422-0.03-0.470.440.06-31-418.717.21.4712.616.0-3.41
Rashard Lewis1616-0.04-0.460.420.02-20-220.517.03.5015.715.20.55
Mario Chalmers3941-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.10-86-1417.817.40.4715.914.90.93
Shane Battier6866-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.350-2217.018.4-1.3114.616.4-1.79
Ray Allen7269-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.432-4617.018.6-1.5615.215.4-0.16
Chris Bosh8383-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.501-3417.218.7-1.4716.012.63.41
LeBron James9795-0.510.01-0.52-0.45-20-217.220.9-3.7215.117.2-2.12
Dwyane Wade8684-0.690.18-0.87-0.42-97-1617.417.9-0.4715.315.3-0.06

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Paul Pierce88900.76-0.261.030.538-61415.315.10.2017.716.51.18
Jeff Green77790.54-0.040.580.376-41014.816.7-1.9517.118.7-1.66
Kevin Garnett79800.53-0.030.550.5011015.315.20.1818.415.03.33
Jason Terry49530.430.070.360.4011015.515.10.4217.317.7-0.44
Leandro Barbosa54550.410.090.310.265-3815.515.10.4418.216.81.35
Courtney Lee49470.130.37-0.240.043-1415.015.6-0.6116.718.2-1.50
Avery Bradley51510.040.46-0.430.18-57-1215.115.5-0.4416.918.1-1.22
Chris Wilcox56-0.000.50-0.51-0.031109.015.6-6.6017.317.5-0.20
Jared Sullinger4140-0.080.58-0.650.04-46-1016.714.42.3317.717.40.28
Brandon Bass2526-0.250.75-1.00-0.07-68-1415.615.20.3615.418.2-2.83


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.5,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.67,0.53,0.46,0.57,0.83,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.22,0.42,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.43,0.15,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 88, CLE 870.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.44,0.34,0.25,0.21,0.28,0.42,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.47,0.55,0.67,0.92,087.1%
MIA 77, CLE 750.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.57,0.72,086.7%
CHH 107, WAS 1050.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.69,0.6,0.72,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.58,086.7%