NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	88		Excitement	9.3 [94]		MVP	Caron Butler (WAS): +38.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	87		Comeback	35.8 [17]		LVP	Joe Smith (CLE): -23.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caron Butler	0.39	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.39	0.12	0.28	0.01	22	63%	0.45	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.01
Antonio Daniels	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09	0.03	0.07	0.01	9	60%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.05
DeShawn Stevenson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.00	14	50%	0.10	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Darius Songaila	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Roger Mason Jr.	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Young	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	0.00	6	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Antawn Jamison	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.14	-0.07	10	33%	-0.03	2	-0.14	4	25%	-0.09

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Delonte West	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.09	-0.01	11	48%	0.12	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.03	0.03	0.11	-0.08	0.01	11	73%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.02
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.16,0.22,0.15,0.25,0.24,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	21	57%	0.17	5	-0.15	18	83%	0.10
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	0.00	8	56%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	6	21%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	1	50%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.10
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	6	31%	-0.04	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.02
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24	-0.24	-0.09	-0.15	-0.00	6	7%	-0.24	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.0	3.5	30.3	19.6	25.3	3.5	44.2	157.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +76.1%

WAS +0.1%

CLE -29.8%

CLE -1.0%

WAS +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CLE	NBA	WAS	CLE	NBA
this game	16.4	16.3	15.4	101.1	97.8	105.7
season	16.1	16.4		106.8	104.0
opponent	15.2	15.5		104.1	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.7	16.6	17.5	14.7	16.4
CLE	16.8	15.4	15.2	17.9	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Songaila	29	29	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.49	6	-5	11	14.3	17.4	-3.07	19.4	14.8	4.56
Caron Butler	80	81	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.46	2	-1	3	16.7	13.1	3.53	16.4	15.2	1.19
DeShawn Stevenson	67	69	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.44	0	1	-1	15.9	18.0	-2.15	16.1	17.0	-0.92
Antawn Jamison	75	76	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.52	-3	4	-7	16.7	14.4	2.29	16.0	18.5	-2.49
Roger Mason Jr.	36	36	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.34	1	0	1	17.1	15.9	1.18	15.9	16.7	-0.80
Antonio Daniels	71	73	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.16	1	0	1	16.5	15.9	0.63	16.8	14.4	2.39
Brendan Haywood	55	58	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.06	3	-2	5	16.9	15.5	1.41	15.6	17.7	-2.11
Nick Young	7	8	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	2	-3	13.1	16.7	-3.53	15.2	16.4	-1.19
Andray Blatche	15	15	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.01	-4	5	-9	16.9	16.3	0.57	15.1	16.6	-1.53

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	65	63	0.50	-1.00	1.50	0.00	17	-18	35	16.6	15.6	0.98	17.1	14.6	2.50
Devin Brown	27	26	0.36	-0.86	1.21	0.15	7	-8	15	16.0	16.5	-0.43	17.4	16.0	1.47
Wally Szczerbiak	33	32	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.06	1	-2	3	15.6	16.8	-1.16	17.6	15.7	1.85
Anderson Varejao	31	31	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.17	-9	8	-17	16.2	16.4	-0.17	15.4	16.9	-1.51
Ben Wallace	46	45	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.40	-2	1	-3	15.1	17.6	-2.50	17.0	15.7	1.26
LeBron James	81	79	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.46	-3	2	-5	16.5	14.6	1.88	16.4	16.7	-0.40
Daniel Gibson	58	56	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.53	-2	1	-3	16.8	15.5	1.21	15.7	17.6	-1.95
Joe Smith	36	35	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.38	-8	7	-15	17.5	15.5	1.95	15.2	17.2	-1.94
Delonte West	68	68	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.62	-6	5	-11	16.2	16.6	-0.37	16.1	17.6	-1.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.44,0.34,0.25,0.21,0.28,0.42,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.47,0.55,0.67,0.92,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 77, CLE 75	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.57,0.72,0	92.4%
CHA 112, GSW 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.56,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.64,0.76,0.61,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.58,0	90.8%
CHH 107, WAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.69,0.6,0.72,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.58,0	90.6%