NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	90		Excitement	5.6 [663]		MVP	Luke Ridnour (MIN): +14.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	77		Comeback	1.2 [1030]		LVP	Eric Bledsoe (LAC): -16.8%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronny Turiaf	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.02	0.00	5	79%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Matt Barnes	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	9	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jamal Crawford	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.05	0.00	17	52%	0.11	3	-0.06	8	62%	-0.01
Willie Green	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.04	4	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	19	50%	0.10	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Hollins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	33%	0.02	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Caron Butler	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	9	50%	-0.02	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Eric Bledsoe	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-0.03	7	14%	-0.07	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.04	-0.02	17	62%	0.17	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greg Stiemsma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	9	45%	-0.02	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0.03	12	58%	0.01	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	9	32%	-0.04	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Alexey Shved	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	7	40%	-0.01	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	9	22%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	8	20%	-0.11	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.04	-0.00	10	20%	-0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.7	28.1	17.8	31.0	2.5	30.3	138.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +38.0%

LAC +16.1%

LAC +5.3%

MIN -12.1%

LAC +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIN	NBA	LAC	MIN	NBA
this game	15.7	15.4	15.4	96.8	83.7	104.1
season	15.6	15.6		109.0	101.3
opponent	14.9	15.7		103.4	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.3	15.3	14.1	19.4	15.7
MIN	17.8	14.7	15.3	14.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	48	49	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.18	12	1	11	15.9	15.6	0.30	15.0	16.0	-0.99
Grant Hill	36	36	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.08	14	-1	15	15.6	15.8	-0.21	15.4	15.5	-0.10
Jamal Crawford	68	68	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.09	13	0	13	15.6	16.0	-0.40	15.2	16.0	-0.84
Matt Barnes	53	52	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.07	13	0	13	16.1	15.1	0.98	14.7	16.3	-1.59
Ronny Turiaf	25	26	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.06	8	5	3	15.5	15.8	-0.31	15.2	15.5	-0.38
Blake Griffin	68	66	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.06	5	8	-3	15.8	15.5	0.31	15.5	15.2	0.38
Willie Green	33	31	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.01	6	7	-1	15.2	16.0	-0.77	17.6	14.3	3.25
Ryan Hollins	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	11	-9	14.5	15.7	-1.24	8.0	15.5	-7.51
Caron Butler	43	43	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.04	-2	15	-17	15.6	15.8	-0.20	16.2	14.7	1.47
DeAndre Jordan	43	42	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	14	-15	15.6	15.8	-0.20	16.1	14.8	1.32
Eric Bledsoe	46	46	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	18	-23	15.9	15.5	0.45	14.4	16.5	-2.07

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Pekovic	49	51	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-10	7	16.0	14.8	1.23	14.9	16.7	-1.83
Andrei Kirilenko	67	67	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.01	-7	-6	-1	15.8	14.4	1.35	16.4	14.0	2.43
Ricky Rubio	51	54	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-8	3	15.2	15.7	-0.51	16.4	14.8	1.62
Jose Juan Barea	39	37	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-7	1	15.6	15.3	0.33	14.6	16.4	-1.85
Alexey Shved	40	39	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-8	3	14.9	15.8	-0.97	15.7	15.7	-0.03
Luke Ridnour	66	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	-4	-5	15.3	15.8	-0.48	15.4	16.5	-1.11
Greg Stiemsma	28	28	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.12	-6	-7	1	15.9	15.2	0.73	15.0	16.0	-1.07
Dante Cunningham	62	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	-4	-5	14.2	17.9	-3.67	15.9	15.2	0.70
Derrick Williams	58	58	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.09	-15	2	-17	16.2	14.2	1.98	16.2	14.9	1.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.38,0.29,0.37,0.24,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 83, UTA 69	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.32,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.09,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.6%
DAL 110, GSW 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.1%
SAS 106, DEN 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.45,0.36,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.9%