inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 92 Excitement2.9 [1214] MVPLeBron James (MIA): +10.5%
Golden State Warriors 75 Comeback1.3 [821] LVPKlay Thompson (GSW): -13.1%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0.100,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.080.02-0.012058%0.121-0.02367%-0.01
Dwyane Wade0.070,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.01-0.011252%0.0700.00560%-0.01
Udonis Haslem0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.00475%0.0400.0000%0.00
Mario Chalmers0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.06-0.000.041162%0.051-0.03250%-0.01
Rashard Lewis0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03337%0.0010.00250%0.00
Mike Miller0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Jones0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jarvis Varnado0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Norris Cole-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01644%-0.0110.00475%-0.01
Ray Allen-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.08-0.00-0.061142%0.003-0.032100%0.01
Shane Battier-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.0230%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Chris Bosh-0.070,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.09-0.00-0.011439%-0.053-0.0200%0.00

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Richard Jefferson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.04487%0.0010.0000%0.00
Andris Biedrins00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Festus Ezeli00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeremy Tyler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kent Bazemore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.050.00-0.05733%-0.001-0.00475%0.00
Draymond Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.02564%0.014-0.03475%-0.01
Jarrett Jack0,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.031450%0.075-0.09450%-0.01
Charles Jenkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.00-0.01425%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
David Lee0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.09-0.00-0.051340%0.013-0.054100%0.02
Carl Landry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.010.021145%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Harrison Barnes0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.010.011235%-0.051-0.032100%0.00
Klay Thompson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.17-0.01-0.05812%-0.074-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game30.13.031.218.624.32.828.3138.2
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +28.3%
GSW -3.2%
GSW -1.3%
MIA +20.4%
MIA +5.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAGSWNBAMIAGSWNBA
this game15.114.415.492.978.1104.1
season15.714.6110.2104.6
opponent15.315.9103.7102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA13.414.415.018.015.1
GSW15.514.414.313.314.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LeBron James64620.57-0.070.64-0.4033-164914.017.2-3.2414.913.61.30
Dwyane Wade63600.51-0.010.52-0.4332-154714.316.6-2.3714.813.61.21
Ray Allen55550.470.030.44-0.031701714.516.0-1.5214.214.7-0.54
Udonis Haslem49480.390.110.28-0.3726-93514.216.0-1.8015.513.32.12
Mario Chalmers53530.370.130.23-0.3424-73114.815.5-0.6114.913.81.05
Chris Bosh55540.280.220.05-0.4023-62914.416.1-1.7315.413.12.35
Shane Battier23200.020.48-0.450.05-118-1913.915.5-1.6414.514.40.13
Joel Anthony27260.000.50-0.490.12-421-2516.414.71.7012.415.1-2.76
Rashard Lewis23230.000.50-0.500.38-1330-4318.014.33.7413.314.7-1.44
Mike Miller23230.000.50-0.500.38-1330-4318.014.33.7413.314.7-1.44
James Jones11100.000.50-0.500.29-1027-3718.614.73.9413.214.5-1.33
Jarvis Varnado11100.000.50-0.500.29-1027-3718.614.73.9413.214.5-1.33
Norris Cole3836-0.110.61-0.720.44-1936-5516.514.32.2613.015.2-2.23

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Harrison Barnes47470.05-0.550.590.021-181914.614.20.4314.815.5-0.70
Jeremy Tyler14150.00-0.500.50-0.269-263513.314.6-1.3016.914.82.12
Kent Bazemore3435-0.01-0.490.48-0.3010-273713.414.9-1.4817.114.13.02
Festus Ezeli1617-0.05-0.450.400.10-5-12716.214.02.1515.115.1-0.09
Richard Jefferson2221-0.07-0.430.36-0.3911-283912.415.0-2.6416.914.72.19
Andris Biedrins1212-0.17-0.330.160.24-14-3-1117.014.02.9812.315.5-3.18
Carl Landry4549-0.19-0.310.120.07-9-8-114.314.5-0.2414.815.5-0.70
Jarrett Jack6568-0.37-0.13-0.240.25-214-2514.614.00.5414.915.6-0.75
Draymond Green5861-0.40-0.10-0.300.04-15-2-1313.715.5-1.7815.614.41.15
Charles Jenkins4344-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.17-8-9114.014.8-0.8014.715.5-0.85
Klay Thompson5959-0.43-0.07-0.350.13-192-2115.113.31.7914.216.5-2.25
David Lee6567-0.46-0.04-0.430.27-258-3315.013.21.7315.115.10.06


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.2,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 101, GSW 720.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.4%
TOR 94, DET 640.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.8%
BOS 115, ATL 910.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.7%