inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 85 Excitement3.7 [1083] MVPE'Twaun Moore (ORL): +10.8%
Orlando Magic 99 Comeback1.3 [444] LVPKlay Thompson (GSW): -8.5%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Curry0.070,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.010.011954%0.081-0.02887%0.01
Kent Bazemore0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeremy Tyler0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Richard Jefferson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01250%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Carl Landry-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.03837%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
Jarrett Jack-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.02-0.010.051155%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
David Lee-0.030,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.03-0.010.052057%0.043-0.072100%0.01
Draymond Green-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.0240%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Harrison Barnes-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00829%-0.0400.001100%0.00
Charles Jenkins-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.0220%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Festus Ezeli-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.00-0.0220%-0.023-0.0600%0.00
Klay Thompson-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.020.011335%-0.071-0.0200%0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
E'Twaun Moore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.100.010.011168%0.1100.0000%0.00
Andrew Nicholson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.070.01-0.02968%0.111-0.00475%-0.01
JJ Redick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.00-0.031267%0.133-0.0600%0.00
Maurice Harkless0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.020.00-0.04839%0.0300.00250%-0.00
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.01-0.01-0.031254%0.053-0.042100%0.01
Kyle O'Quinn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Gustavo Ayon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ish Smith00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
DeQuan Jones00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nikola Vucevic0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.01-0.001060%0.054-0.0700%0.00
Glen Davis0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01944%0.012-0.0500%0.00
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.011432%-0.051-0.02367%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.71.724.815.025.81.724.5116.1
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +53.1%
GSW -1.4%
GSW -1.4%
GSW -1.2%
ORL +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWORLNBAGSWORLNBA
this game14.516.115.490.4105.3104.1
season14.615.5104.6100.3
opponent15.315.3107.7103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW16.515.313.312.914.5
ORL15.514.115.519.816.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kent Bazemore230.00-0.500.500.000-14149.514.6-5.1111.316.3-4.96
Jeremy Tyler230.00-0.500.500.000-14149.514.6-5.1111.316.3-4.96
Richard Jefferson2627-0.03-0.470.45-0.206-202612.015.5-3.5118.415.23.18
Charles Jenkins1111-0.18-0.320.130.11-10-4-617.914.03.8611.516.7-5.20
Harrison Barnes3332-0.20-0.300.090.06-9-5-416.613.33.2914.916.8-1.92
Draymond Green2826-0.21-0.290.080.02-8-6-214.614.40.2015.016.6-1.57
Carl Landry4746-0.22-0.280.050.01-8-6-214.414.6-0.1915.416.8-1.42
Festus Ezeli2425-0.24-0.260.030.03-9-5-415.914.01.9014.616.7-2.10
Klay Thompson6364-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.07-7-7014.314.9-0.6516.914.62.31
Stephen Curry8484-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.17-6-8214.117.7-3.5816.612.04.63
David Lee8080-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.12-9-5-414.613.90.6716.613.63.02
Jarrett Jack7069-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.11-10-4-614.215.2-1.0116.714.71.93

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andrew Nicholson51490.470.030.440.0315-11614.917.6-2.7514.714.30.32
E'Twaun Moore49500.420.080.340.071221015.816.5-0.7614.714.30.34
Jameer Nelson58580.370.130.23-0.041401416.216.10.0914.614.40.14
Glen Davis55570.280.220.07-0.131401415.117.5-2.3914.214.9-0.74
Arron Afflalo66650.270.230.040.0195417.213.63.6014.514.40.12
Maurice Harkless47470.200.30-0.100.20014-1416.316.00.3614.514.50.02
Gustavo Ayon10100.150.35-0.20-0.0986212.016.6-4.6317.714.13.58
JJ Redick52530.140.36-0.210.17-115-1617.115.02.1013.915.3-1.41
DeQuan Jones12120.100.40-0.29-0.0459-413.316.5-3.2216.714.22.58
Nikola Vucevic64650.090.41-0.320.27-620-2617.912.55.3914.314.9-0.57
Kyle O'Quinn320.000.50-0.500.00014-1411.316.3-4.969.514.6-5.11
Ish Smith320.000.50-0.500.00014-1411.316.3-4.969.514.6-5.11


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 90, LAL 1060.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
PHX 87, IND 970.5,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,196.2%
DAL 89, PHX 1120.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%