NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	90		Excitement	3.4 [1141]		MVP	Al Harrington (ATL): +17.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	106		Comeback	1.4 [991]		LVP	Kenny Anderson (ATL): -10.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.00	-0.06	14	73%	0.18	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Predrag Drobnjak	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.00	0.03	8	81%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	71%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Boris Diaw	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	6	58%	0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	8	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Kevin Willis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	9	35%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Jon Barry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	20	44%	-0.03	4	-0.07	5	80%	-0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	6	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caron Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.01	14	73%	0.16	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	-0.00	-0.02	8	79%	0.10	3	-0.04	8	87%	0.02
Tierre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.04	8	65%	0.06	2	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	12	67%	0.06	3	-0.02	12	92%	0.01
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	9	55%	0.03	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	8	61%	0.07	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.3	26.2	15.4	26.7	2.7	33.0	131.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +43.2%

LAL +5.6%

LAL +13.3%

ATL -13.4%

LAL +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	LAL	NBA	ATL	LAL	NBA
this game	15.8	15.5	15.5	98.9	114.0	104.0
season	15.6	15.7		98.1	105.8
opponent	15.3	15.1		108.8	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.0	16.8	17.7	13.2	15.8
LAL	12.8	16.0	17.4	16.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Royal Ivey	35	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-15	14	14.9	16.4	-1.50	17.1	14.6	2.55
Kevin Willis	25	25	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-11	6	16.8	15.4	1.46	15.8	15.4	0.32
Kenny Anderson	40	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	-10	4	16.3	15.4	0.97	14.8	16.1	-1.35
Josh Smith	35	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.07	-9	-7	-2	15.3	16.1	-0.80	13.9	16.5	-2.58
Boris Diaw	63	64	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.10	-3	-13	10	15.7	16.0	-0.27	16.7	12.9	3.82
Jon Barry	16	16	-0.21	-0.28	0.07	0.05	-9	-7	-2	16.4	15.6	0.80	14.0	15.8	-1.84
Al Harrington	75	76	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-12	8	15.6	16.4	-0.80	16.3	12.2	4.03
Josh Childress	42	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.04	-12	-4	-8	15.1	16.4	-1.27	14.4	16.5	-2.10
Predrag Drobnjak	43	46	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	-2	-12	16.8	14.9	1.87	15.0	16.1	-1.09
Antoine Walker	81	82	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.04	-17	1	-18	15.7	16.5	-0.81	15.4	16.2	-0.74

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	84	83	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.00	17	-1	18	15.5	15.4	0.09	15.8	15.4	0.44
Chris Mihm	57	56	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.02	14	2	12	15.5	15.6	-0.14	16.9	13.9	3.03
Chucky Atkins	50	49	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.10	15	1	14	15.7	15.3	0.42	17.1	14.2	2.86
Jumaine Jones	61	59	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.03	10	6	4	15.7	15.2	0.57	15.4	16.5	-1.11
Caron Butler	67	68	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.04	8	8	0	16.1	14.0	2.12	15.8	15.8	-0.00
Brian Cook	15	13	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.05	9	7	2	11.7	16.3	-4.52	15.2	15.9	-0.64
Lamar Odom	61	61	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.08	4	12	-8	15.8	15.0	0.85	15.2	16.9	-1.67
Tierre Brown	43	42	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	15	-14	15.3	15.7	-0.42	14.2	17.1	-2.86
Brian Grant	13	12	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.05	5	11	-6	14.4	15.7	-1.33	15.1	15.9	-0.80
Luke Walton	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	17.7	15.5	2.21	17.5	15.7	1.76
Sasha Vujacic	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	15.0	15.5	-0.54	17.5	15.7	1.76
Kareem Rush	9	8	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	17	-18	15.4	15.5	-0.09	15.4	15.8	-0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 85, ORL 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
OKC 81, DAL 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
CHA 81, CLE 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%