NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	105		Excitement	8.7 [163]		MVP	Greg Smith (HOU): +45.3%
Houston Rockets	107		Comeback	19.4 [41]		LVP	Carlos Delfino (HOU): -13.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Hill	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	8	53%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02	0.04	-0.04	-0.02	12	62%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Earl Clark	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darius Morris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.03	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.04,-0.03	0.07	-0.12	-0.02	31	53%	0.05	3	-0.08	12	75%	-0.02
Jodie Meeks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	8	39%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chris Duhon	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	55%	0.03	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.03	-0.01	9	47%	0.04	4	-0.09	16	50%	-0.19
Metta World Peace	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05	0.01	-0.07	-0.01	7	64%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.27,0.38,0.45	0.45	0.18	0.27	0.00	8	87%	0.48	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.2,0.12,0.11	0.10	0.10	0.03	0.03	17	58%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	8	56%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
James Harden	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.17,-0.26,-0.19,-0.19,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.22	0.13	-0.04	19	31%	0.08	4	-0.13	11	82%	0.11
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	5	8%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chandler Parsons	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	16	38%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	8	25%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	0.04	-0.16	0.01	15	50%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	1.8	27.2	15.6	29.0	1.7	43.3	144.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL -18.6%

HOU +30.6%

HOU +20.4%

HOU +19.5%

LAL -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	HOU	NBA	LAL	HOU	NBA
this game	13.9	15.0	15.4	106.1	107.0	104.1
season	14.9	14.2		106.0	107.9
opponent	15.4	15.3		105.0	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.0	14.8	14.7	12.5	13.9
HOU	13.7	16.5	14.7	15.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jodie Meeks	52	54	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.19	-1	-1	0	15.1	12.7	2.42	14.0	16.2	-2.19
Earl Clark	24	26	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.09	-4	2	-6	14.0	13.9	0.07	12.5	15.9	-3.42
Darius Morris	20	21	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.18	-9	7	-16	15.9	13.4	2.51	12.1	15.7	-3.60
Jordan Hill	29	28	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.23	-11	9	-20	16.4	12.9	3.49	14.3	15.2	-0.93
Dwight Howard	70	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.67	9	-11	20	12.9	16.4	-3.49	15.2	14.3	0.93
Chris Duhon	79	79	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.62	7	-9	16	13.4	15.9	-2.51	15.7	12.1	3.60
Antawn Jamison	75	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.53	2	-4	6	13.9	14.0	-0.07	15.9	12.5	3.42
Metta World Peace	72	70	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.53	1	-3	4	14.2	13.2	1.05	16.4	11.7	4.70
Kobe Bryant	74	76	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.54	-4	2	-6	12.9	17.2	-4.30	14.4	16.8	-2.43

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Smith	51	50	0.94	-0.44	1.38	0.33	21	-19	40	14.3	15.7	-1.38	13.8	14.1	-0.34
Toney Douglas	60	57	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.30	20	-18	38	15.1	14.8	0.28	13.5	14.6	-1.12
Carlos Delfino	64	62	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.27	20	-18	38	14.8	15.3	-0.45	14.2	13.5	0.65
James Harden	82	80	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.50	3	-1	4	14.4	17.5	-3.06	13.6	15.4	-1.82
Patrick Patterson	58	59	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.62	-1	3	-4	15.3	14.5	0.80	13.4	14.7	-1.26
Marcus Morris	27	26	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.09	2	0	2	15.1	14.9	0.22	14.4	13.8	0.59
Jeremy Lin	40	42	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	0.14	-18	20	-38	14.8	15.1	-0.28	14.6	13.5	1.12
Omer Asik	49	49	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	0.12	-19	21	-40	15.7	14.3	1.38	14.1	13.8	0.34
Chandler Parsons	69	70	-0.51	1.01	-1.52	0.02	-18	20	-38	15.4	14.0	1.48	14.4	12.9	1.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.19,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.31,0.28,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 100, DAL 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.2,0.38,0.21,0.45,0.63,1	92.4%
MIA 96, SAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.22,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.08,0.17,0.27,0.1,0.07,0.17,0.14,0.22,0.23,0.73,1	92.1%
DET 99, ATL 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.27,0.21,0.11,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.25,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.38,0.46,0.55,0.85,1	91.9%