NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	105		Excitement	8.0 [240]		MVP	Mo Williams (UTA): +33.4%
Utah Jazz	104		Comeback	12.1 [117]		LVP	Al Jefferson (UTA): -13.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0.26	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.22	0.05	0.01	20	70%	0.26	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Chris Paul	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.05,0.14	-0.04	0.19	0.02	14	50%	0.22	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11	0.03	0.08	-0.00	19	48%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Chauncey Billups	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.1,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	5	60%	0.12	2	-0.07	5	80%	-0.02
Lamar Odom	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.04,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	64%	0.09	1	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Matt Barnes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.00	6	39%	0.01	0	0.00	6	50%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	9	48%	0.05	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.02
Caron Butler	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	8	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	37%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.35,0.33	0.33	0.09	0.26	0.02	11	80%	0.42	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	10	71%	0.15	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	6	67%	0.09	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.14	-0.08	0.05	11	76%	0.08	1	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	57%	0.03	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.06
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.11	-0.01	17	47%	-0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.7	27.2	15.5	25.4	1.5	40.0	133.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA -20.9%

LAC +23.6%

LAC +31.1%

LAC +11.0%

LAC +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	UTA	NBA	LAC	UTA	NBA
this game	15.7	15.9	15.4	115.4	114.3	104.1
season	15.6	16.0		109.0	104.6
opponent	15.1	15.7		105.0	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	19.4	16.1	13.2	14.6	15.7
UTA	15.6	14.5	18.1	15.4	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	47	48	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.53	11	-10	21	13.0	18.7	-5.66	15.0	17.0	-2.02
DeAndre Jordan	62	60	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.44	-1	2	-3	16.1	14.9	1.28	16.6	14.5	2.12
Chauncey Billups	39	41	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.49	-5	6	-11	18.2	13.9	4.37	15.1	16.6	-1.48
Chris Paul	70	70	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.55	-8	9	-17	16.0	14.7	1.33	15.8	16.3	-0.55
Lamar Odom	34	34	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.02	8	-7	15	15.1	16.1	-1.03	15.8	16.0	-0.24
Jamal Crawford	59	58	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.02	8	-7	15	14.5	18.1	-3.59	16.3	15.2	1.15
Eric Bledsoe	21	21	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.08	9	-8	17	14.7	16.0	-1.33	16.3	15.8	0.55
Blake Griffin	70	70	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.49	-11	12	-23	15.9	15.2	0.71	15.7	16.7	-0.98
Ronny Turiaf	15	16	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.07	5	-4	9	15.7	15.7	-0.00	16.2	15.8	0.41
Caron Butler	38	37	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.00	-11	12	-23	18.1	14.0	4.11	16.6	15.4	1.24

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Evans	23	22	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	1	-3	15.6	16.0	-0.46	14.6	16.1	-1.51
Enes Kanter	34	34	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.14	-9	8	-17	16.1	15.8	0.28	14.3	16.6	-2.30
Earl Watson	21	21	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.13	-11	10	-21	16.8	15.7	1.10	15.8	15.7	0.10
Alec Burks	21	21	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.13	-11	10	-21	16.8	15.7	1.10	15.8	15.7	0.10
DeMarre Carroll	40	39	-0.20	-0.29	0.09	-0.23	1	-2	3	16.9	15.1	1.85	18.7	13.5	5.22
Al Jefferson	67	69	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.63	14	-15	29	16.1	15.4	0.67	15.7	15.9	-0.23
Mo Williams	70	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.60	10	-11	21	15.7	16.8	-1.10	15.7	15.8	-0.10
Randy Foye	70	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.60	10	-11	21	15.7	16.8	-1.10	15.7	15.8	-0.10
Gordon Hayward	52	52	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.21	-6	5	-11	14.8	17.4	-2.58	13.5	18.7	-5.22
Paul Millsap	57	57	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.52	-1	0	-1	16.0	15.7	0.28	17.1	13.4	3.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.67,0.77,0.74,0.6,0.47,0.62,0.64,0.59,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 100, ORL 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.63,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.78,0.74,0.85,0.76,0.73,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.84,0.78,0.42,0	92.5%
MIA 92, DEN 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.68,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.84,0.27,0	91.8%
SAC 94, UTA 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.88,0.82,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.89,0.92,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.79,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.42,0	91.6%