NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	100		Excitement	8.3 [167]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +35.9%
Orlando Magic	98		Comeback	16.3 [31]		LVP	Hedo Turkoglu (ORL): -19.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.36	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.36	0.14	0.22	0.00	18	64%	0.39	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.04
Delonte West	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.28,0.28	0.06	0.21	-0.00	10	62%	0.29	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.08
Jason Terry	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.25,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.10	0.09	0.00	12	63%	0.19	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Brandan Wright	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0,0,0	0.07	-0.06	0.00	10	75%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	11	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Lamar Odom	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	5	42%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.03	0.00	4	0%	-0.08	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.36,0.31	0.31	0.15	0.14	-0.02	12	70%	0.31	0	0.00	6	100%	0.08
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	13	45%	0.05	0	0.00	16	44%	-0.11
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	75%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.18,0.12,0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01	-0.01	0.09	-0.09	0.01	17	67%	0.15	3	-0.16	2	50%	-0.09
Earl Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	4	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.16	-0.16	-0.02	-0.13	0.01	7	43%	-0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.15	-0.02	-0.01	6	13%	-0.08	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,0.07,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.19	-0.19	-0.06	-0.13	0.00	11	52%	-0.04	5	-0.15	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.7	32.2	17.8	28.5	3.4	37.4	148.3
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +37.9%

DAL +2.5%

ORL -12.7%

DAL +27.9%

ORL -5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	ORL	NBA	DAL	ORL	NBA
this game	15.0	15.2	15.6	104.2	103.2	102.8
season	15.5	16.2		101.6	102.8
opponent	15.8	15.5		103.0	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.5	15.3	15.5	14.5	15.0
ORL	15.5	14.7	13.8	16.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Delonte West	49	47	0.88	-0.38	1.27	0.39	17	-15	32	14.4	15.5	-1.10	15.8	14.6	1.23
Ian Mahinmi	40	38	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.44	15	-13	28	13.8	15.8	-1.96	16.0	14.7	1.31
Jason Terry	68	67	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.45	6	-4	10	14.6	15.9	-1.25	15.7	13.9	1.89
Shawn Marion	69	70	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.50	4	-2	6	14.7	15.6	-0.82	15.3	14.9	0.42
Dirk Nowitzki	74	73	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.43	3	-1	4	15.1	14.4	0.73	15.0	16.0	-1.00
Brandan Wright	6	6	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.07	6	-4	10	15.8	14.9	0.92	13.8	15.3	-1.45
Lamar Odom	26	24	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.04	-2	4	-6	15.5	14.8	0.78	14.7	15.4	-0.70
Vince Carter	50	50	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.00	-5	7	-12	15.2	14.7	0.52	14.8	15.6	-0.86
Jason Kidd	48	49	-0.41	0.91	-1.31	0.03	-15	17	-32	15.5	14.4	1.15	14.7	15.7	-1.02
Brendan Haywood	50	51	-0.48	0.98	-1.47	0.07	-19	21	-40	15.8	14.1	1.69	14.8	15.7	-0.92

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Clark	26	27	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.04	-1	-1	0	16.0	14.9	1.12	14.7	15.1	-0.42
Glen Davis	15	15	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.11	-6	4	-10	14.3	15.3	-1.02	14.5	15.1	-0.60
Jameer Nelson	64	64	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.57	13	-15	28	15.1	15.5	-0.39	15.4	14.2	1.17
JJ Redick	50	51	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.07	-11	9	-20	15.5	14.8	0.66	14.5	15.5	-0.94
Jason Richardson	65	65	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.43	5	-7	12	14.9	15.8	-0.89	14.9	15.1	-0.14
Chris Duhon	31	32	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.13	-15	13	-28	15.5	15.1	0.39	14.2	15.4	-1.17
Dwight Howard	86	86	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.51	3	-5	8	15.3	14.4	0.82	14.9	15.8	-0.93
Hedo Turkoglu	75	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.52	2	-4	6	15.2	15.0	0.18	15.3	13.7	1.60
Ryan Anderson	63	64	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.53	0	-2	2	15.0	15.7	-0.70	15.3	14.2	1.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.63,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.78,0.74,0.85,0.76,0.73,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.84,0.78,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 105, UTA 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.67,0.77,0.74,0.6,0.47,0.62,0.64,0.59,0.58,0	92.5%
MIA 92, DEN 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.68,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.84,0.27,0	92.4%
NOP 121, SAS 116	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.79,0.75,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.79,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.68,0.63,0.59,0.78,0.83,0.89,0.59,0.42,0	92.2%