NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	121		Excitement	9.1 [143]		MVP	E'Twaun Moore (NOP): +27.2%
San Antonio Spurs	116		Comeback	10.8 [72]		LVP	Patty Mills (SAS): -32.5%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
E'Twaun Moore	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.27,0.27	0.03	0.24	-0.00	15	53%	0.29	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Darius Miller	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.07	-0.00	8	69%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	9	68%	0.11	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Ian Clark	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	10	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Walter Lemon Jr.	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.01	14	45%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Cheick Diallo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22,-0.04	0.11	-0.14	0.01	18	64%	0.01	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.21
Anthony Davis	-0.05	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.03,-0.05	0.01	-0.03	0.03	19	57%	0.08	4	-0.13	8	100%	0.08

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.05	0.20	-0.00	15	58%	0.31	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.01	9	56%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.00	9	70%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.16,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.02	15	56%	0.12	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	3	78%	0.07	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	8	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	13	61%	0.13	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.02
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	6	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.32	-0.32	0.00	-0.32	0.00	10	50%	-0.13	1	-0.20	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	1.5	24.4	15.5	25.4	2.4	33.5	126.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +18.5%

SAS -11.0%

NOP +22.6%

NOP +15.6%

NOP +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	SAS	NBA	NOP	SAS	NBA
this game	13.1	15.3	14.7	119.8	113.7	107.5
season	13.6	15.5		108.0	106.7
opponent	14.5	14.6		104.1	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	14.6	11.9	12.3	13.6	13.1
SAS	14.2	16.9	13.8	16.4	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
E'Twaun Moore	81	81	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.49	12	-7	19	12.8	14.4	-1.63	15.3	15.2	0.11
Ian Clark	45	47	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.46	11	-6	17	12.7	13.4	-0.76	15.7	14.9	0.79
Darius Miller	67	68	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.34	12	-7	19	12.8	13.7	-0.93	15.9	14.1	1.78
Anthony Davis	79	78	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.36	5	0	5	12.7	14.4	-1.63	15.4	14.7	0.69
Jrue Holiday	76	76	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	2	1	12.9	13.8	-0.89	15.6	14.3	1.30
Emeka Okafor	8	8	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.04	-3	8	-11	16.4	12.8	3.57	15.5	15.3	0.24
Cheick Diallo	24	26	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.01	-2	7	-9	14.6	12.6	2.01	15.3	15.3	0.04
Walter Lemon Jr.	11	12	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	10	-15	13.1	13.1	0.00	14.4	15.4	-0.97
Nikola Mirotic	44	45	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.02	-9	14	-23	13.4	12.9	0.49	14.0	16.3	-2.28
Rajon Rondo	70	69	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.31	1	4	-3	13.6	11.9	1.66	14.8	16.3	-1.57

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMarcus Aldridge	27	28	0.19	-0.69	0.87	-0.05	8	-13	21	15.6	15.1	0.48	14.2	12.7	1.51
Bryn Forbes	16	16	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.00	4	-9	13	16.1	15.1	0.93	12.7	13.2	-0.48
Danny Green	58	58	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.09	-1	-4	3	14.5	16.3	-1.84	13.5	12.5	0.97
Kyle Anderson	60	57	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	2	-9	15.2	15.4	-0.26	13.4	12.7	0.76
Patty Mills	77	77	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-5	5	15.3	15.3	-0.01	13.2	12.7	0.44
Tony Parker	37	35	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.12	-10	5	-15	15.5	15.1	0.38	12.5	13.4	-0.97
Dejounte Murray	64	65	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.44	7	-12	19	15.3	15.2	0.14	13.6	12.1	1.52
Rudy Gay	50	51	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.47	4	-9	13	14.9	15.7	-0.81	12.6	13.6	-0.93
Davis Bertans	36	38	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.40	-2	-3	1	15.0	15.4	-0.47	12.8	13.3	-0.48
Joffrey Lauvergne	43	39	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.11	-13	8	-21	15.5	15.1	0.37	13.4	12.9	0.44
Manu Ginobili	42	41	-0.85	0.35	-1.21	-0.41	-15	10	-25	16.2	14.6	1.64	11.5	14.1	-2.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.79,0.75,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.79,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.68,0.63,0.59,0.78,0.83,0.89,0.59,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 83, IND 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.76,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.79,0.86,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.83,0.93,0.9,0.66,0.42,0	92.6%
DAL 100, ORL 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.63,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.78,0.74,0.85,0.76,0.73,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.84,0.78,0.42,0	92.2%
HOU 122, GSW 121	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.51,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.84,0.79,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.86,0.81,0.72,0.68,0.58,0	91.7%