inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Bobcats 69 Excitement1.7 [1310] MVPThabo Sefolosha (OKC): +4.7%
Oklahoma City Thunder 114 Comeback1.2 [898] LVPKemba Walker (CHA): -10.0%


Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeff Taylor0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.000.01762%0.041-0.02250%-0.00
DeSagana Diop0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cory Higgins-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02750%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Reggie Williams-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.04856%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Ben Gordon-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01750%0.022-0.024100%0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist-0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.01940%-0.001-0.022100%0.01
Hakim Warrick-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.070.00-0.04830%-0.021-0.004100%0.00
Byron Mullens-0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.030.000.031137%-0.0600.00250%-0.00
Brendan Haywood-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.000.00633%-0.032-0.0400%0.00
Ramon Sessions-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.110.00-0.03929%-0.052-0.03683%0.00
Kemba Walker-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.15-0.00-0.0660%-0.072-0.0320%-0.02

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.100.000.06970%0.0500.002100%0.01
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.000.02386%0.0400.0010%-0.01
Hasheem Thabeet0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.100.020.09687%0.041-0.013100%0.01
Kevin Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.02860%0.031-0.014100%0.01
Kevin Durant0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.13-0.000.12890%0.022-0.014100%-0.01
Jeremy Lamb0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.04523%0.0000.003100%0.00
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.080.000.08869%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eric Maynor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.060.00-0.06839%0.022-0.02250%-0.01
Perry Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.060.00-0.05450%-0.003-0.0000%0.00
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.00650%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.02-0.000.04580%0.002-0.0300%0.00
Russell Westbrook0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.010.000.04860%-0.012-0.014100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.51.732.114.723.22.426.3126.0
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +28.5%
OKC +8.0%
OKC +5.3%
OKC +8.5%
CHA -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHAOKCNBACHAOKCNBA
this game15.015.515.472.6121.3104.1
season15.614.899.9109.3
opponent15.515.4100.6109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA18.314.115.113.115.0
OKC17.713.114.917.015.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cory Higgins2927-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-464712.416.1-3.6316.815.01.83
Reggie Williams3533-0.01-0.490.49-0.155-505514.415.3-0.8517.114.72.44
Hakim Warrick4847-0.14-0.360.220.21-12-332114.715.3-0.5716.015.00.94
DeSagana Diop4037-0.17-0.330.17-0.05-4-413713.216.2-2.9716.614.81.79
Ramon Sessions3939-0.17-0.330.160.24-14-311714.415.4-0.9513.816.7-2.98
Brendan Haywood4648-0.27-0.23-0.050.87-39-6-3316.513.53.0515.415.7-0.32
Ben Gordon5553-0.29-0.21-0.080.47-26-19-713.217.3-4.1115.915.00.91
Jeff Taylor5252-0.33-0.17-0.170.78-38-7-3116.013.72.3214.516.7-2.18
Kemba Walker3739-0.34-0.16-0.180.57-31-14-1716.414.02.4015.415.6-0.26
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist4141-0.37-0.13-0.240.57-32-13-1917.612.94.6915.515.50.05
Byron Mullens5354-0.40-0.10-0.310.62-35-10-2515.015.00.0314.816.5-1.72

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Martin40390.380.120.260.031233-2114.716.1-1.4115.014.90.05
Kevin Durant53520.330.170.16-0.964414314.716.6-1.8616.113.62.49
Nick Collison20190.320.180.15-0.231926-714.215.9-1.6016.014.71.29
Thabo Sefolosha40400.320.180.14-1.004504515.315.7-0.4116.314.02.30
Hasheem Thabeet52530.300.200.110.07837-2916.314.61.7014.016.2-2.19
Eric Maynor53540.270.230.040.10639-3316.214.61.6014.216.0-1.86
Russell Westbrook43430.250.250.01-0.954143714.316.5-2.2316.313.92.35
Kendrick Perkins38380.170.33-0.16-0.8635102514.816.0-1.1715.814.41.37
Serge Ibaka36360.130.37-0.24-0.8433122114.816.0-1.1915.614.61.03
Reggie Jackson36380.010.49-0.490.27-954-6316.914.62.3213.615.9-2.23
Perry Jones36380.010.49-0.490.27-954-6316.914.62.3213.615.9-2.23
Jeremy Lamb23250.000.50-0.500.00045-4517.015.02.0313.115.6-2.51


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 79, NYK 1210.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.0%
PHX 97, SAS 1140.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.9%
CHI 79, SAC 1210.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.7%