NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	97		Excitement	2.0 [1292]		MVP	George Hill (SAS): +21.2%
San Antonio Spurs	114		Comeback	1.1 [1242]		LVP	Zabian Dowdell (PHX): -7.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robin Lopez	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	7	59%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Channing Frye	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.13	0.00	0.13	7	82%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garret Siler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	10	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	9	61%	-0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	9	52%	0.01	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	12	52%	-0.01	3	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	11	55%	-0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zabian Dowdell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.15	-0.00	-0.08	11	27%	-0.04	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.25	0.00	0.04	16	78%	0.21	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.15	0.00	0.09	5	120%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.12	0.00	0.07	10	76%	0.06	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	9	83%	0.04	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	75%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	8	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.03	7	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.12	0.00	-0.11	6	17%	-0.01	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.11	0.00	-0.10	5	36%	-0.00	4	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	2	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	8	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.16	-0.00	-0.10	11	27%	-0.00	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	3.3	28.4	16.8	28.2	2.8	26.2	131.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +30.5%

SAS +2.7%

SAS +11.2%

SAS +4.6%

SAS +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAS	NBA	PHX	SAS	NBA
this game	13.4	16.4	15.5	100.0	118.8	105.7
season	14.5	15.5		108.0	109.3
opponent	15.2	15.7		103.6	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.5	15.2	12.2	13.8	13.4
SAS	14.7	16.1	20.5	15.0	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garret Siler	12	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-25	33	12.8	13.5	-0.67	12.8	17.0	-4.24
Robin Lopez	33	31	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.13	-8	-9	1	15.1	12.5	2.57	16.9	16.2	0.64
Jared Dudley	66	65	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.40	9	-26	35	12.9	14.6	-1.75	16.8	15.6	1.17
Aaron Brooks	51	50	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.32	6	-23	29	13.2	13.7	-0.56	18.2	14.5	3.64
Grant Hill	53	51	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-14	11	12.8	14.2	-1.39	16.9	15.9	0.99
Hakim Warrick	24	24	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.38	-20	3	-23	16.0	12.6	3.48	15.8	16.6	-0.81
Channing Frye	63	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-9	1	12.5	15.1	-2.65	17.1	15.3	1.81
Josh Childress	39	40	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.18	-17	0	-17	14.0	13.0	1.01	15.2	17.3	-2.16
Zabian Dowdell	45	45	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.27	-21	4	-25	14.0	12.9	1.12	14.6	18.0	-3.38
Vince Carter	49	50	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.13	-17	0	-17	14.0	12.9	1.08	15.4	17.6	-2.17
Marcin Gortat	50	50	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	-3	-11	12.5	14.4	-1.90	17.6	15.2	2.34

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Hill	48	50	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.30	28	-11	39	15.9	16.9	-1.00	14.5	12.2	2.31
Matt Bonner	45	48	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.42	31	-14	45	16.0	16.8	-0.74	14.4	12.5	1.89
Tiago Splitter	36	35	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.08	15	2	13	14.1	17.8	-3.77	13.9	13.2	0.72
Manu Ginobili	48	48	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.24	20	-3	23	16.8	16.1	0.67	13.3	13.5	-0.18
Gary Neal	39	38	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.33	22	-5	27	14.8	17.5	-2.72	13.9	13.1	0.73
Tony Parker	55	57	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.21	-1	18	-19	17.6	14.8	2.81	12.8	14.3	-1.45
Richard Jefferson	51	54	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.09	9	8	1	16.5	16.4	0.07	14.2	12.4	1.76
Tim Duncan	37	37	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.10	8	9	-1	17.0	16.1	0.87	13.6	13.3	0.23
DeJuan Blair	34	35	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.30	-10	27	-37	17.0	16.1	0.92	12.1	14.2	-2.05
Antonio McDyess	38	37	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.18	-6	23	-29	18.2	15.3	2.85	12.4	14.1	-1.69
Steve Novak	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	25	-33	12.8	17.0	-4.24	12.8	13.5	-0.67
James Anderson	36	34	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.63	-23	40	-63	17.8	15.6	2.14	11.9	14.3	-2.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 69, OKC 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
PHI 76, WAS 111	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
POR 79, NYK 121	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%