NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	93		Excitement	7.7 [302]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (CHI): +16.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	86		Comeback	2.0 [403]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (CHI): -29.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.16	0.07	0.07	-0.01	15	69%	0.24	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Luol Deng	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.08,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.01	14	47%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jimmy Butler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	37%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marco Belinelli	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	67%	0.06	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Nate Robinson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	7	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	10	45%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Joakim Noah	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	7	45%	-0.04	2	-0.04	6	83%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	-0.30	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.3,-0.3	-0.12	-0.18	0.00	18	48%	-0.13	6	-0.17	10	100%	0.06

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.07	-0.02	11	52%	0.12	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	7	71%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Sanders	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	9	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	9	39%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	20	52%	-0.01	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.04
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.09	-0.00	17	46%	-0.06	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.3	26.6	15.4	21.6	2.0	31.1	123.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL -5.0%

CHI +20.3%

CHI +49.4%

MIL -16.5%

CHI +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MIL	NBA	CHI	MIL	NBA
this game	17.0	15.0	15.4	103.3	95.6	104.1
season	16.6	14.7		101.7	101.6
opponent	15.3	15.2		103.9	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.8	17.0	15.3	20.9	17.0
MIL	12.4	15.7	16.0	16.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joakim Noah	79	80	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.22	12	-5	17	16.7	19.6	-2.97	15.2	13.2	1.99
Kirk Hinrich	60	61	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.26	7	0	7	15.9	19.4	-3.50	15.2	14.5	0.71
Luol Deng	76	77	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.29	5	2	3	17.3	15.7	1.56	15.3	13.1	2.21
Carlos Boozer	70	69	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.22	3	4	-1	17.1	16.9	0.11	14.0	18.1	-4.14
Richard Hamilton	70	70	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	3	1	17.1	16.9	0.17	14.1	18.0	-3.96
Jimmy Butler	35	35	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.11	6	1	5	16.0	17.7	-1.69	15.7	14.5	1.27
Taj Gibson	23	23	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	4	-1	17.1	17.0	0.13	17.5	14.1	3.43
Nate Robinson	30	29	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	7	-7	19.4	15.9	3.50	14.5	15.2	-0.71
Marco Belinelli	7	6	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	12	-17	22.7	16.6	6.16	15.0	15.0	0.04

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ekpe Udoh	36	34	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.07	2	-9	11	15.2	14.8	0.47	17.1	17.0	0.04
Beno Udrih	30	28	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.06	1	-8	9	15.5	14.7	0.80	17.4	16.9	0.47
John Henson	3	2	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	-5	3	13.0	15.0	-2.03	9.5	17.2	-7.70
Marquis Daniels	14	12	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-2	-3	16.2	14.7	1.48	12.7	17.7	-4.94
Joel Przybilla	34	37	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-3	-1	13.8	15.7	-1.88	16.1	17.7	-1.57
Tobias Harris	39	41	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.01	-5	-2	-3	15.1	14.8	0.29	15.1	18.6	-3.51
Larry Sanders	51	50	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.31	0	-7	7	16.1	13.5	2.52	18.3	15.4	2.90
Mike Dunleavy	51	49	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.34	0	-7	7	14.8	15.1	-0.29	18.6	15.1	3.51
Monta Ellis	63	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.26	-6	-1	-5	15.4	14.0	1.43	18.0	14.4	3.57
Brandon Jennings	73	74	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.37	-6	-1	-5	14.1	18.5	-4.39	16.8	18.3	-1.56
Ersan Ilyasova	56	57	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.34	-10	3	-13	14.6	15.6	-0.95	16.8	17.5	-0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.41,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.56,0.59,0.6,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.25,0.28,0.16,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 98, MIA 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.63,0.67,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.43,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.46,0.23,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.27,0	91.7%
DEN 107, MIN 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.42,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.72,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.21,0.54,0.4,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.15,0	91.6%
CHI 86, CLE 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.22,0.13,0.26,0	91.5%