inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 107 Excitement9.1 [170] MVPTrey Lyles (DEN): +22.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves 106 Comeback2.8 [461] LVPNikola Jokic (DEN): -37.0%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Trey Lyles0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.140.08-0.001373%0.2200.0000%0.00
Malik Beasley0.200,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.20.160.090.051479%0.231-0.0300%0.00
Juancho Hernangomez0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.070.05-0.00580%0.1200.0000%0.00
Will Barton0.100,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,0.1,0.1,0.10.040.070.021753%0.121-0.03475%0.00
Torrey Craig0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.01-0.00540%0.0000.0000%0.00
Monte Morris-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,-0.010.06-0.07-0.001361%0.151-0.162100%0.02
Mason Plumlee-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.01-0.00633%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Paul Millsap-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.020.0020%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Nikola Jokic-0.370,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.28,-0.37,-0.37-0.15-0.220.001338%-0.165-0.22862%-0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gorgui Dieng0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.02-0.00671%0.0900.002100%0.01
Jerryd Bayless0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,0.06,0.060.060.040.020.001262%0.132-0.0700%0.00
Anthony Tolliver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.001150%0.0500.0000%0.00
Taj Gibson0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.010.01667%0.0400.0000%0.00
Josh Okogie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.030.00440%0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Dario Saric0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.01-0.00743%0.031-0.0400%0.00
Andrew Wiggins0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.020.001045%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Derrick Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.011040%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Isaiah Canaan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.05-0.050.0030%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Luol Deng0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.15-0.150.03-0.18-0.001148%-0.1500.001100%0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.11,-0.16,-0.16-0.160.11-0.250.021966%0.063-0.22956%-0.07
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.11.731.314.624.21.630.5126.0
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +49.6%
DEN +1.4%
DEN +1.5%
MIN -1.0%
MIN -1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENMINNBADENMINNBA
this game15.415.714.3116.3114.0109.3
season14.814.4112.0110.2
opponent14.014.6111.8108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN14.313.316.118.815.4
MIN14.514.917.416.415.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Monte Morris76770.85-0.351.200.4115-142915.913.32.5816.312.93.32
Torrey Craig53540.59-0.090.670.62-12-315.115.9-0.8715.116.6-1.51
Mason Plumlee49490.470.030.430.4410115.615.30.3115.615.8-0.20
Nikola Jokic54570.420.080.340.45-12-315.615.20.4916.314.81.49
Juancho Hernangomez32300.260.240.030.038-71515.115.6-0.4915.016.0-0.97
Will Barton59600.210.29-0.080.47-910-1915.814.90.8815.915.30.64
Trey Lyles39380.140.36-0.220.024-3715.415.5-0.0215.315.9-0.59
Paul Millsap4242-0.030.53-0.560.03-23-515.015.8-0.7815.316.0-0.65
Malik Beasley5658-0.410.91-1.32-0.12-1011-2115.016.1-1.0515.615.8-0.18

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Taj Gibson43430.06-0.560.61-0.033-4716.515.01.4516.015.01.04
Anthony Tolliver2423-0.00-0.500.49-0.062-3514.216.2-1.9915.715.40.33
Isaiah Canaan87-0.07-0.430.36-0.01-21-315.715.70.0717.915.22.61
Gorgui Dieng3130-0.10-0.400.30-0.131-2314.216.4-2.1915.715.30.33
Derrick Rose4241-0.11-0.390.28-0.05-21-315.016.3-1.3014.216.5-2.26
Josh Okogie4140-0.18-0.320.150.12-109-1916.115.40.6915.315.6-0.26
Andrew Wiggins6667-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.527-81515.715.60.1915.615.00.56
Jerryd Bayless6665-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.454-5916.014.91.0716.014.02.05
Karl-Anthony Towns7171-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.442-3515.915.00.9615.415.8-0.41
Luol Deng3638-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.43-21-316.215.30.9214.915.8-0.89
Dario Saric3735-0.580.08-0.66-0.34-87-1515.715.70.0214.915.8-0.86


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.42,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.72,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.21,0.54,0.4,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.15,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 112, GSW 1040.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.41,0.27,0.14,0.05,0.01,0.09,091.9%
ATL 85, IND 790.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.22,0.15,0.04,0.04,0.09,091.8%
CLE 113, DET 1010.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.54,0.38,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.14,0.35,0.33,0.19,0.21,0.06,0.1,091.8%