NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	113		Excitement	7.9 [238]		MVP	Charlie Villanueva (DET): +30.3%
Detroit Pistons	101		Comeback	2.3 [836]		LVP	Will Bynum (DET): -13.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0.06,0.19,0.19,0.3,0.23,0.23	0.10	0.15	0.02	11	77%	0.39	3	-0.16	4	75%	-0.01
LeBron James	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.13	0.03	0.14	0.05	22	53%	0.22	4	-0.10	11	73%	-0.04
Anderson Varejao	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.08	-0.01	5	75%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jawad Williams	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.04	-0.00	6	62%	0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Daniel Gibson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.07	0.00	3	83%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.03
Jamario Moon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Parker	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	10	40%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.01	-0.05	0.03	14	50%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.11	0.19	-0.00	8	84%	0.37	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.04
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.11	0.00	2	150%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.01	-0.00	15	65%	0.21	2	-0.08	7	86%	0.03
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	12	52%	0.04	2	-0.01	5	100%	0.03
Jason Maxiell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	11	38%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	0%	-0.06
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	0.01	6	71%	0.08	3	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	6	29%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.10	-0.04	17	35%	-0.14	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.7	31.3	16.0	25.2	3.6	37.2	143.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +22.2%

DET -1.1%

CLE +25.0%

CLE +7.1%

DET -3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DET	NBA	CLE	DET	NBA
this game	15.2	15.8	15.3	121.5	108.6	106.0
season	16.1	16.8		109.5	104.0
opponent	15.2	15.0		109.8	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.1	16.1	15.9	14.6	15.2
DET	15.2	17.4	15.4	15.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jawad Williams	38	39	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.35	12	0	12	15.6	14.8	0.81	16.7	15.2	1.46
LeBron James	83	84	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.16	13	-1	14	15.0	16.0	-0.95	15.9	14.8	1.15
Antawn Jamison	71	70	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.06	13	-1	14	15.4	14.2	1.21	15.9	15.7	0.22
Daniel Gibson	43	42	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.21	3	9	-6	14.3	15.9	-1.62	16.2	15.5	0.64
Anderson Varejao	55	55	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.08	6	6	0	14.6	16.0	-1.39	14.6	17.6	-3.02
JJ Hickson	38	38	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.07	6	6	0	16.0	14.6	1.39	17.6	14.6	3.02
Mo Williams	61	59	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.05	8	4	4	15.7	14.2	1.47	15.5	16.4	-0.98
Leon Powe	21	23	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.15	1	11	-10	14.9	15.2	-0.32	15.7	15.9	-0.22
Anthony Parker	35	36	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.27	6	6	0	15.2	15.1	0.08	16.2	15.6	0.62
Jamario Moon	20	19	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.10	-8	20	-28	14.1	15.4	-1.27	13.2	16.5	-3.28

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Bynum	73	74	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.01	4	-16	20	15.7	16.1	-0.42	15.7	12.9	2.83
Kwame Brown	15	16	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-12	12	18.1	15.4	2.76	16.7	14.8	1.93
Jonas Jerebko	53	54	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-12	12	14.8	17.2	-2.47	15.9	14.1	1.89
Richard Hamilton	65	66	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-9	-3	-6	14.9	17.9	-2.92	15.0	15.5	-0.52
Austin Daye	20	19	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	-6	0	16.1	15.7	0.42	14.3	15.4	-1.12
Ben Gordon	36	36	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.16	-9	-3	-6	17.1	15.0	2.07	14.2	15.7	-1.51
Charlie Villanueva	40	39	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.09	-12	0	-12	17.2	14.8	2.47	14.1	15.9	-1.89
Jason Maxiell	78	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.05	-14	2	-16	15.4	18.1	-2.76	15.0	15.8	-0.75
Tayshaun Prince	85	85	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.14	-14	2	-16	16.0	14.4	1.58	15.2	14.9	0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.54,0.38,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.14,0.35,0.33,0.19,0.21,0.06,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 92, MIL 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.49,0.43,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.2,0.17,0.11,0.04,0.02,0.16,0	92.6%
LAC 112, GSW 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.11,0.01,0,0,0	92.6%
TOR 102, IND 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.42,0.21,0.34,0.33,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.04,0	92.6%