NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	105		Excitement	11.4 [31]		MVP	O.J. Mayo (DAL): +28.8%
Dallas Mavericks	101		Comeback	2.6 [265]		LVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): -40.0%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.02,0.24	0.07	0.15	-0.02	21	60%	0.55	4	-0.31	10	100%	0.19
David Lee	0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.1	-0.08	0.16	-0.02	17	42%	0.16	3	-0.06	6	50%	-0.03
Draymond Green	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.06	0.02	4	75%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Festus Ezeli	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	4	82%	0.12	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
Charles Jenkins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Tyler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.03	-0.00	8	39%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Harrison Barnes	-0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.05	-0.13	0.02	16	59%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Jarrett Jack	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	-0.40	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4	-0.19	-0.23	-0.02	14	23%	-0.22	4	-0.18	2	100%	0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
O.J. Mayo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.29	0.29	0.12	0.18	0.01	21	61%	0.33	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	7	86%	0.20	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	-0.04	0.02	11	58%	0.03	0	0.00	9	89%	0.02
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bernard James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	57%	0.01	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.08
Dominique Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.06	-0.00	6	44%	0.08	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	6	36%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	9	39%	-0.05	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.00	-0.19	-0.01	9	50%	-0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.17	-0.04	-0.01	11	29%	0.00	5	-0.20	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.7	1.8	29.1	15.5	25.8	1.0	41.4	1.8	17.2	158.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	2.0	17.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL -2.6%

GSW +30.9%

GSW +39.6%

DAL -22.7%

GSW +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	DAL	NBA	GSW	DAL	NBA
this game	14.6	15.1	15.4	98.1	94.4	104.1
season	14.6	14.5		104.6	104.3
opponent	15.6	15.3		105.0	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
GSW	14.8	13.8	16.4	14.7	12.3	14.6
DAL	14.6	15.0	13.6	18.0	13.8	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Harrison Barnes	80	81	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.39	8	-4	12	14.0	16.4	-2.41	15.6	13.7	1.82
Klay Thompson	83	83	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.40	6	-2	8	14.7	14.2	0.51	15.4	14.0	1.38
Festus Ezeli	43	39	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.50	-3	7	-10	14.7	14.5	0.19	16.2	14.5	1.68
Stephen Curry	86	87	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	1	2	14.3	16.0	-1.73	15.6	12.8	2.84
David Lee	84	89	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	0	4	14.6	14.7	-0.06	15.6	12.6	3.07
Draymond Green	52	51	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.06	5	-1	6	14.2	15.0	-0.81	15.2	15.0	0.20
Andris Biedrins	27	26	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	5	-6	17.5	13.6	3.89	13.1	15.8	-2.64
Kent Bazemore	1	1	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	6	-8	0.0	14.7	-14.75	4.0	15.2	-11.22
Charles Jenkins	15	15	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	5	-6	12.9	14.9	-2.02	11.5	15.7	-4.24
Carl Landry	31	31	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.03	-1	5	-6	15.9	14.1	1.82	14.0	15.6	-1.52
Jarrett Jack	32	31	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.11	4	0	4	15.3	14.3	1.01	13.9	15.6	-1.75
Jeremy Tyler	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	6	-8	0.0	14.7	-14.75	4.0	15.2	-11.22

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dahntay Jones	17	16	0.31	-0.81	1.12	0.22	3	-7	10	16.9	14.8	2.10	15.9	14.4	1.49
Bernard James	36	35	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.04	3	-7	10	14.8	15.3	-0.42	15.1	14.4	0.71
Dominique Jones	30	29	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.05	5	-9	14	14.4	15.4	-0.94	15.7	14.2	1.48
Brandan Wright	9	9	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.01	3	-7	10	15.2	15.1	0.12	12.3	14.8	-2.48
Rodrigue Beaubois	15	14	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.07	3	-7	10	12.7	15.5	-2.84	15.4	14.5	0.86
Troy Murphy	46	48	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-4	4	15.0	15.2	-0.12	15.1	14.2	0.90
Elton Brand	30	29	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.07	-5	1	-6	14.2	15.5	-1.27	15.1	14.4	0.63
Vince Carter	53	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.62	11	-15	26	14.6	15.6	-1.01	15.1	14.1	0.92
Darren Collison	77	78	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.34	-9	5	-14	15.4	14.4	0.94	14.2	15.7	-1.48
Chris Kaman	71	72	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.43	-7	3	-10	15.3	14.8	0.42	14.4	15.1	-0.71
O.J. Mayo	82	82	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.38	-11	7	-18	15.6	13.6	1.92	14.3	15.7	-1.45
Shawn Marion	69	68	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.36	-16	12	-28	15.5	14.4	1.07	14.0	15.7	-1.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.36,0.45,0.34,0.37,0.43,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.69,0.54,0.43,0.17,0.46,0.25,0.16,0.22,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 98, SEA 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.45,0.43,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.47,0.36,0.41,0.28,0.53,0.45,0.41,0.27,0.46,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.08,0	89.9%
BOS 122, IND 117	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.36,0.38,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.72,0.57,0.41,0.54,0.39,0.37,0.24,0.16,0	89.2%
ATL 93, MIA 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.34,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.46,0.37,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.72,0.9,0.79,0.57,0.09,0.46,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.28,0	88.9%