inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 103 Excitement7.6 [312] MVPTroy Murphy (DAL): +22.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers 95 Comeback2.2 [351] LVPAnderson Varejao (CLE): -21.4%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Troy Murphy0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.070.15-0.00675%0.2200.0000%0.00
O.J. Mayo0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.140.070.07-0.00979%0.264-0.126100%0.03
Darren Collison0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.030.08-0.00867%0.162-0.04580%0.02
Brandan Wright0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.002100%0.0600.001100%0.00
Vince Carter0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.020.001064%0.133-0.09250%-0.01
Dahntay Jones0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.020.001150%0.081-0.0500%0.00
Chris Kaman0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02-0.020.050.011254%0.113-0.09475%-0.01
Jae Crowder-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Shawn Marion-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.01-0.050.00762%0.072-0.102100%0.01
Elton Brand-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.0120%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Dominique Jones-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.011145%0.023-0.0900%0.00
Bernard James-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.03-0.070.00540%-0.051-0.0500%0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Daniel Gibson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.09-0.01-0.001167%0.121-0.042100%0.01
Omri Casspi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.060.00462%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Kyrie Irving0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.050.050.04-0.01-0.022158%0.173-0.13367%0.00
Alonzo Gee0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.010.011641%-0.0100.00560%-0.02
Jeremy Pargo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Dion Waiters0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.03-0.011640%-0.051-0.02887%0.02
Tyler Zeller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.020.01430%-0.062-0.04250%-0.01
Tristan Thompson0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.05-0.060.001242%-0.042-0.0800%0.00
Anderson Varejao0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.12-0.10-0.011118%-0.181-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.41.627.215.325.31.833.0132.6
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +88.2%
DAL +10.4%
CLE -14.2%
CLE -33.1%
CLE -1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALCLENBADALCLENBA
this game14.316.215.4110.899.0104.1
season14.515.5104.3102.5
opponent15.215.6107.7105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL14.014.614.314.114.3
CLE15.316.016.217.216.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Kaman65650.57-0.070.650.3771613.815.3-1.5116.016.5-0.56
Dahntay Jones26280.56-0.060.620.2610-21214.414.20.1617.215.71.48
Shawn Marion64660.500.000.490.2010-21213.615.8-2.1616.515.41.12
Darren Collison60610.470.030.430.3835-214.414.10.3216.615.31.30
Troy Murphy34370.270.230.030.0380814.414.20.1816.516.00.48
O.J. Mayo66670.190.31-0.120.1617-614.014.9-0.8216.016.6-0.55
Dominique Jones34350.070.43-0.36-0.0853214.314.30.0415.316.6-1.30
Brandan Wright14150.010.49-0.47-0.0526-413.314.4-1.1615.216.3-1.15
Jae Crowder12120.010.49-0.48-0.0217-615.114.10.9415.016.3-1.33
Vince Carter39410.010.49-0.490.10-311-1415.513.42.1015.416.7-1.27
Bernard James2831-0.070.57-0.65-0.1017-615.313.81.5116.516.00.56
Elton Brand2322-0.080.58-0.660.07-513-1814.314.30.0516.516.10.37

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tristan Thompson58580.01-0.510.52-0.083-111416.415.80.6213.815.1-1.31
Dion Waiters5757-0.08-0.420.33-0.05-1-7615.517.1-1.5813.815.0-1.19
Omri Casspi2525-0.24-0.260.01-0.13-4-4016.815.90.9114.314.30.02
Alonzo Gee7168-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.14-4-4015.916.8-0.9114.314.3-0.02
Jeremy Pargo1817-0.26-0.24-0.020.06-113-1417.915.82.1915.214.11.18
Daniel Gibson5250-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.21-3-5216.615.60.9814.913.51.41
Kyrie Irving7067-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.32-2-6415.817.2-1.3513.915.3-1.39
Anderson Varejao7975-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.25-80-815.817.7-1.8714.314.20.13
Tyler Zeller5048-0.500.00-0.51-0.21-102-1216.515.80.7814.913.61.30


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.5,0.51,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.62,0.42,0.21,0.29,0.46,0.2,0.03,0.03,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 107, DAL 990.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.47,0.27,0.18,0.24,0.31,0.19,0.03,0,0,092.9%
SAS 88, LAC 820.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.47,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.15,0.05,0.09,0.05,092.2%
PHI 112, GSW 1040.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.41,0.27,0.14,0.05,0.01,0.09,092.1%