NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	117		Excitement	7.0 [410]		MVP	Shannon Brown (PHX): +42.9%
Charlotte Bobcats	110		Comeback	1.1 [572]		LVP	Michael Beasley (PHX): -16.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shannon Brown	0.43	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.26,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.43	0.18	0.26	0.01	12	83%	0.46	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Marcin Gortat	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18	0.13	0.05	0.00	14	72%	0.18	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Jared Dudley	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.01	10	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	1	67%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Goran Dragic	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	10	64%	0.08	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Markieff Morris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	12	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	9	45%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Sebastian Telfair	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	21	42%	-0.08	5	-0.08	8	75%	-0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.07	-0.00	5	90%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Byron Mullens	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.17	-0.01	0.02	16	75%	0.19	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.02	8	50%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	71%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	78%	0.06	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	10	50%	0.07	3	-0.08	14	86%	0.05
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	10	43%	0.04	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Jeff Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	0.03	-0.02	0.07	14	50%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	14	43%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.3	31.3	15.5	24.5	2.3	33.3	136.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +43.2%

CHA -22.7%

PHX +21.1%

PHX +6.5%

PHX +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	CHA	NBA	PHX	CHA	NBA
this game	15.3	14.4	15.4	119.4	114.6	104.1
season	15.2	15.6		99.7	99.9
opponent	15.4	15.1		109.8	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.8	12.9	17.0	17.6	15.3
CHA	17.5	13.8	14.3	12.2	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Beasley	86	86	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.26	15	-8	23	14.9	17.6	-2.65	14.8	10.9	3.94
Marcin Gortat	77	78	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.21	9	-2	11	14.9	16.5	-1.61	14.6	13.9	0.66
Goran Dragic	64	66	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.21	8	-1	9	14.7	16.2	-1.46	14.8	13.6	1.20
PJ Tucker	27	24	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.23	3	4	-1	17.2	14.5	2.66	11.8	15.3	-3.51
Shannon Brown	52	48	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.30	0	7	-7	15.9	14.5	1.34	12.7	16.2	-3.52
Luis Scola	55	56	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.01	8	-1	9	14.6	16.0	-1.41	15.8	12.5	3.35
Jared Dudley	63	62	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.02	2	5	-3	14.8	16.1	-1.25	15.0	13.3	1.75
Sebastian Telfair	34	30	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	8	-9	16.2	14.7	1.46	13.6	14.8	-1.20
Markieff Morris	32	30	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.16	-9	16	-25	16.2	14.8	1.48	14.0	14.6	-0.67

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Taylor	19	20	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.04	2	-9	11	16.3	14.0	2.35	15.6	15.2	0.43
Bismack Biyombo	43	45	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-6	5	14.7	14.2	0.57	15.0	15.5	-0.55
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	58	61	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.23	4	-11	15	13.6	15.6	-1.99	15.8	14.4	1.41
Reggie Williams	18	19	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-7	7	14.6	14.4	0.16	17.3	14.8	2.49
Brendan Haywood	35	35	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-4	1	15.5	13.8	1.71	14.6	15.6	-1.02
Tyrus Thomas	29	31	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.13	-1	-6	5	14.4	14.4	0.03	17.3	14.3	2.93
Ben Gordon	53	54	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.04	-11	4	-15	13.9	15.1	-1.25	14.0	16.8	-2.88
Ramon Sessions	70	71	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.25	-8	1	-9	13.9	15.8	-1.89	15.0	16.0	-0.98
Byron Mullens	74	74	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.28	-8	1	-9	14.5	14.0	0.50	15.0	16.0	-0.93
Kemba Walker	81	80	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.31	-9	2	-11	14.6	13.6	0.98	15.3	15.1	0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.33,0.33,0.21,0.15,0.07,0.08,0.15,0.17,0.21,0.34,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.21,0.15,0.27,0.19,0.04,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 100, UTA 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.37,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.17,0.21,0.16,0.21,0.1,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.1,0.24,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.05,0	93.3%
DEN 126, CLE 117	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.18,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.08,0.12,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.09,0,0	92.5%
NOP 116, DET 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.25,0.22,0.34,0.4,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.2,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0	92.5%