NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	109		Excitement	2.7 [982]		MVP	Jannero Pargo (ATL): +8.4%
Orlando Magic	81		Comeback	1.1 [678]		LVP	Jameer Nelson (ORL): -8.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jannero Pargo	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	-0.00	0.03	10	85%	0.11	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.02	7	79%	0.08	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	9	70%	0.10	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	12	59%	0.05	1	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	4	80%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Smith	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.04	12	57%	0.08	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jerry Stackhouse	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.04	6	85%	0.00	2	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jason Collins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Von Wafer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	11	67%	0.05	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Earl Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	13	59%	0.08	4	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
JJ Redick	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	7	44%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Orton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Liggins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	42%	0.00	2	-0.00	4	25%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	11	39%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	12	23%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	14	32%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.0	29.1	16.4	23.4	2.5	23.5	119.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +33.8%

ATL +6.4%

ORL -2.6%

ATL +9.1%

ATL +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	ORL	NBA	ATL	ORL	NBA
this game	15.0	15.5	15.6	116.0	85.3	102.8
season	15.7	16.2		102.5	102.8
opponent	15.8	15.9		103.0	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.5	13.7	17.9	15.3	15.0
ORL	15.3	14.5	17.3	15.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	56	58	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.34	28	0	28	14.7	15.3	-0.51	16.6	13.9	2.70
Kirk Hinrich	56	56	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.06	17	11	6	14.7	15.3	-0.51	15.2	16.0	-0.86
Josh Smith	53	54	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.26	23	5	18	14.9	15.1	-0.21	16.4	14.4	1.98
Zaza Pachulia	33	34	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.22	21	7	14	13.0	16.0	-2.97	15.2	15.7	-0.48
Tracy McGrady	48	50	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.56	31	-3	34	14.7	15.2	-0.55	15.8	15.2	0.56
Jannero Pargo	56	55	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.21	14	14	0	15.7	13.9	1.83	15.2	15.9	-0.71
Marvin Williams	59	61	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.20	12	16	-4	15.3	14.4	0.93	15.9	14.8	1.12
Jeff Teague	28	29	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.01	4	24	-20	14.1	15.3	-1.21	16.4	15.1	1.24
Jason Collins	13	13	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	28	-28	16.5	14.7	1.75	13.2	15.9	-2.74
Jerry Stackhouse	25	24	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	27	-26	15.6	14.7	0.82	14.7	15.8	-1.14
Erick Dampier	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	35	-42	17.2	14.7	2.50	10.1	16.0	-5.89
Vladimir Radmanovic	34	33	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	32	-36	15.3	14.8	0.53	14.6	16.0	-1.35

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ish Smith	35	36	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.04	-1	-27	26	15.1	15.8	-0.73	15.3	14.7	0.56
Daniel Orton	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-29	30	13.1	15.8	-2.74	15.8	14.8	0.97
Justin Harper	20	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-28	28	14.3	15.8	-1.48	15.3	14.9	0.42
DeAndre Liggins	23	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.08	-3	-25	22	15.3	15.6	-0.28	15.3	14.8	0.50
Earl Clark	28	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.07	-6	-22	16	14.7	15.8	-1.09	15.1	14.9	0.16
Quentin Richardson	19	18	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.02	-6	-22	16	13.7	16.0	-2.22	13.9	15.2	-1.32
Von Wafer	57	56	-0.23	-0.28	0.05	0.04	-9	-19	10	14.7	16.8	-2.12	14.3	15.9	-1.66
JJ Redick	38	38	-0.28	-0.23	-0.05	0.28	-19	-9	-10	16.8	14.7	2.12	15.9	14.3	1.66
Jason Richardson	53	52	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.21	-19	-9	-10	16.2	14.6	1.65	15.2	14.7	0.44
Ryan Anderson	68	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.24	-21	-7	-14	16.1	14.1	1.91	14.8	15.3	-0.47
Jameer Nelson	60	58	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.28	-27	-1	-26	15.8	15.1	0.73	14.7	15.3	-0.56
Glen Davis	63	61	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.37	-30	2	-32	16.1	14.4	1.63	14.8	15.3	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 98, DET 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.17,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0	97.5%
MIN 91, DET 80	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0	97.3%
BOS 107, CHI 86	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%