NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	98		Excitement	2.9 [1191]		MVP	Wilson Chandler (NYK): +14.9%
Detroit Pistons	94		Comeback	1.1 [213]		LVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): -8.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wilson Chandler	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.00	-0.03	9	100%	0.18	4	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Mardy Collins	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04	-0.09	0.07	-0.06	6	33%	0.07	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.01	9	61%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	4	80%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Fred Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	9	50%	0.01	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	14	57%	0.03	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Randolph Morris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	9	46%	0.00	2	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Renaldo Balkman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	5	33%	-0.01	2	-0.01	2	0%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.12	0.00	0.08	6	87%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	13	39%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.02	8	56%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Walter Herrmann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.04	6	59%	-0.01	1	-0.00	5	40%	-0.03
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	11	27%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.04	-0.01	14	36%	0.02	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	0.04	6	42%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0.04	12	39%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	5	0%	-0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	0.01	14	34%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.7	27.5	16.6	24.0	1.8	32.2	130.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +62.5%

DET -3.8%

DET -3.4%

DET -7.6%

NYK +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DET	NBA	NYK	DET	NBA
this game	14.3	15.4	15.4	101.0	96.9	105.7
season	15.7	16.8		103.1	108.8
opponent	15.8	15.2		101.3	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.1	12.4	15.7	14.8	14.3
DET	14.1	18.1	16.3	13.4	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wilson Chandler	72	72	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.14	13	-9	22	13.3	17.0	-3.75	15.3	15.7	-0.39
Nate Robinson	41	42	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.06	7	-3	10	13.8	14.6	-0.78	16.8	14.4	2.34
Zach Randolph	48	48	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.02	8	-4	12	14.9	13.7	1.18	15.1	15.7	-0.57
Jamal Crawford	48	48	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.02	8	-4	12	14.9	13.7	1.18	15.1	15.7	-0.57
Quentin Richardson	48	48	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.02	8	-4	12	14.9	13.7	1.18	15.1	15.7	-0.57
Fred Jones	49	49	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.36	-4	8	-12	13.7	14.9	-1.18	15.7	15.1	0.57
Renaldo Balkman	49	49	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.36	-4	8	-12	13.7	14.9	-1.18	15.7	15.1	0.57
Jared Jeffries	47	47	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	-2	8	15.2	13.4	1.77	15.4	15.5	-0.14
Mardy Collins	47	46	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.38	-6	10	-16	13.6	14.9	-1.28	15.2	15.6	-0.37
Randolph Morris	26	25	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.45	-15	19	-34	14.8	14.1	0.75	13.4	16.1	-2.74
Malik Rose	10	11	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	5	-6	17.6	13.9	3.73	18.0	15.1	2.90

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Maxiell	46	47	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.42	10	-14	24	14.4	16.4	-1.94	14.9	13.7	1.15
Arron Afflalo	40	39	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-2	0	15.6	15.3	0.28	15.3	13.6	1.71
Jarvis Hayes	31	31	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	0	-4	16.5	15.0	1.50	15.1	13.9	1.23
Amir Johnson	50	50	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.41	7	-11	18	14.9	16.0	-1.02	14.7	13.8	0.95
Rasheed Wallace	45	44	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	3	-10	16.2	14.8	1.35	14.2	14.3	-0.01
Walter Herrmann	23	24	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.25	1	-5	6	14.9	15.6	-0.74	10.7	15.4	-4.72
Antonio McDyess	42	42	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.06	-6	2	-8	15.4	15.5	-0.05	14.7	13.9	0.72
Juan Dixon	49	49	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.36	4	-8	12	15.7	15.1	0.57	13.7	14.9	-1.18
Rodney Stuckey	50	52	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.40	5	-9	14	14.8	16.1	-1.31	14.5	14.0	0.48
Tayshaun Prince	54	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.06	-13	9	-22	15.8	14.9	0.90	14.1	14.5	-0.36
Chauncey Billups	55	54	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.09	-15	11	-26	15.6	15.2	0.47	13.8	14.8	-0.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.17,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 109, ORL 81	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
GSW 115, HOU 80	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.17,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
DET 83, POR 68	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%