inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 112 Excitement4.8 [691] MVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): +15.6%
Golden State Warriors 103 Comeback1.2 [851] LVPIan Mahinmi (DAL): -7.7%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0.160,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.040.07-0.052351%0.182-0.03786%0.01
Brandan Wright0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.110.02-0.00880%0.141-0.024100%0.02
Jason Terry0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.120.060.04-0.011262%0.141-0.022100%0.01
Vince Carter0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.110.020.01786%0.1200.0000%0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.00-0.01961%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Jason Kidd0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.000.01675%0.052-0.0300%0.00
Brendan Haywood0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.000.01357%0.0200.0010%-0.01
Brian Cardinal0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Delonte West-0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.01-0.01944%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Shawn Marion-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.02835%-0.031-0.01475%-0.01
Ian Mahinmi-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.00325%-0.041-0.0420%-0.06

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandon Rush0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.020.00764%0.0700.0000%0.00
Nate Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.010.050.00862%0.123-0.0800%0.00
Andris Biedrins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Richard Jefferson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,00.000.010.000.01450%0.0000.00667%-0.01
Klay Thompson0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,00.000.08-0.040.041762%0.072-0.065100%0.02
Mickell Gladness0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01433%-0.0000.001100%0.00
Dorell Wright0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01837%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Dominic McGuire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.00250%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
David Lee0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.05-0.030.072061%0.095-0.13989%0.02
Charles Jenkins0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.000.01657%0.013-0.052100%0.01
Jeremy Tyler0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.00425%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.62.830.418.525.22.828.2133.5
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +35.9%
GSW -4.8%
GSW -2.1%
DAL +21.0%
DAL +0.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALGSWNBADALGSWNBA
this game15.615.015.6119.1109.6102.8
season15.515.2101.6103.6
opponent15.415.5106.8100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL13.814.515.619.015.6
GSW15.616.213.215.215.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dirk Nowitzki69720.76-0.261.020.1421-123316.014.51.5614.516.8-2.36
Jason Kidd66660.400.100.300.3718-715.915.00.8414.715.7-1.00
Jason Terry59580.390.110.290.1972515.915.10.8615.813.72.18
Vince Carter46440.350.150.210.1572516.814.52.3916.313.92.46
Brandan Wright63610.330.170.150.2727-515.915.10.7915.314.50.86
Shawn Marion54540.170.33-0.160.1127-514.217.5-3.3514.315.9-1.59
Rodrigue Beaubois40410.130.37-0.24-0.0772514.916.2-1.2714.815.2-0.36
Brendan Haywood23230.080.42-0.35-0.0136-315.315.7-0.3714.115.3-1.17
Brian Cardinal10-0.030.53-0.550.03-211-133.015.8-12.760.015.0-15.01
Delonte West3132-0.030.53-0.560.09-413-1715.215.8-0.6014.215.5-1.30
Ian Mahinmi1819-0.060.56-0.61-0.0918-715.715.60.0516.514.61.83

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dorell Wright3838-0.01-0.490.49-0.124-131714.815.1-0.3314.616.3-1.67
Jeremy Tyler2626-0.01-0.490.47-0.010-9914.115.4-1.2415.515.7-0.12
Mickell Gladness1819-0.14-0.360.23-0.05-3-6314.515.1-0.6313.916.1-2.11
Andris Biedrins1213-0.14-0.360.220.01-5-4-118.714.54.1913.116.0-2.96
Dominic McGuire2522-0.21-0.290.080.03-8-1-716.014.61.4015.515.7-0.23
Charles Jenkins4850-0.21-0.290.08-0.03-6-3-314.815.2-0.4514.317.2-2.92
Nate Robinson4644-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.20-3-6315.214.80.4517.214.32.92
Brandon Rush5757-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.21-5-4-115.214.60.6015.915.30.59
David Lee7880-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.27-3-6314.915.7-0.8915.615.50.15
Klay Thompson8989-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.28-5-4-114.622.2-7.5915.616.6-1.03
Richard Jefferson4343-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.02-167-2315.814.31.5217.114.42.70


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.07,0.13,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.16,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 110, DET 1030.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.11,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,094.5%
HOU 99, WAS 910.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.3,0.2,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,094.3%
BOS 101, NYK 890.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.21,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.03,0.01,0,0,094.3%