inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 90 Excitement6.5 [418] MVPChris Kaman (NOH): +23.2%
New Orleans Hornets 99 Comeback1.6 [412] LVPWayne Ellington (MIN): -14.0%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Beasley0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.190.100.09-0.011177%0.293-0.10475%0.00
Nikola Pekovic0.090,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.040.050.00952%0.0900.003100%0.03
Kevin Love0.060,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.060.11-0.020.042357%0.0600.00580%-0.00
Malcolm Lee0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.001100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Martell Webster-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.03-0.01536%0.031-0.04450%-0.03
Derrick Williams-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00540%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Anthony Randolph-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.030.001100%0.022-0.0800%0.00
Wesley Johnson-0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.0020%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Jose Juan Barea-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.031242%0.023-0.0900%0.00
Anthony Tolliver-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.01-0.060.00350%-0.031-0.0500%0.00
Wayne Ellington-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.09-0.050.01920%-0.1400.002100%0.00

New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Kaman0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.230.160.090.021091%0.292-0.063100%0.04
Jason Smith0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.210.210.190.040.021676%0.2100.002100%0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.02-0.02850%0.052-0.032100%0.01
Trevor Ariza0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00450%0.0100.0000%0.00
Gustavo Ayon00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lance Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Greivis Vasquez0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.020.011150%0.053-0.0700%0.00
Carl Landry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00744%-0.001-0.024100%0.02
Xavier Henry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.070.00-0.02633%-0.002-0.0500%0.00
Marco Belinelli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.01735%-0.031-0.02333%-0.03
Eric Gordon0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.03-0.011234%-0.032-0.08560%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.22.530.316.526.42.430.3130.6
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOH +16.9%
NOH +3.9%
NOH +19.9%
NOH +3.9%
NOH +5.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINNOHNBAMINNOHNBA
this game15.116.915.6101.1108.8102.8
season15.316.3102.699.2
opponent15.715.1103.4104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN18.515.012.514.815.1
NOH16.715.717.517.916.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Wesley Johnson33340.11-0.610.71-0.014-131715.814.61.1616.916.9-0.02
Malcolm Lee25250.07-0.570.64-0.085-141916.414.51.8118.416.42.04
Anthony Tolliver13130.07-0.570.64-0.116-152114.115.2-1.1518.416.71.71
Anthony Randolph23230.01-0.510.52-0.052-111316.514.51.9817.816.61.21
Martell Webster3939-0.14-0.360.23-0.02-4-5115.614.60.9516.717.1-0.31
Nikola Pekovic4849-0.17-0.330.17-0.05-4-5115.914.11.7316.117.9-1.73
Wayne Ellington5052-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.22-5-4-114.615.6-0.9517.116.70.31
Derrick Williams2829-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.08-112-1314.115.5-1.3317.616.61.02
Kevin Love6668-0.510.01-0.52-0.19-112-1314.516.5-1.9816.617.8-1.21
Jose Juan Barea6466-0.570.07-0.64-0.16-145-1914.516.4-1.8116.418.4-2.04
Michael Beasley5657-0.610.11-0.71-0.23-134-1714.615.8-1.1616.916.90.02

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Greivis Vasquez62620.88-0.381.260.1525-164116.517.8-1.2315.214.70.51
Chris Kaman58570.57-0.070.640.1315-62116.817.2-0.4515.314.60.72
Al-Farouq Aminu57540.440.060.380.2181716.817.2-0.4514.516.0-1.51
Carl Landry46440.310.190.110.1945-117.016.90.1114.215.8-1.59
Eric Gordon48480.290.210.080.2909-917.116.70.4714.515.7-1.12
Trevor Ariza30300.260.240.02-0.0912-31514.318.2-3.9116.614.32.28
Jason Smith66680.240.26-0.020.1245-116.817.1-0.2715.513.61.94
Gustavo Ayon110.000.50-0.500.0009-918.016.91.0917.015.01.97
Xavier Henry3230-0.130.63-0.750.14-918-2718.715.92.8214.415.4-0.99
Lance Thomas97-0.150.65-0.800.05-716-2318.216.81.4415.015.1-0.06
Marco Belinelli4644-0.210.71-0.93-0.01-716-2317.816.01.8715.314.80.43


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.48,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.67,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.56,0.73,0.84,0.82,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.83,0.63,0.69,0.85,0.73,0.9,0.93,0.97,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 94, MIN 980.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.73,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.99,193.4%
MIN 88, NJN 920.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.97,0.97,1,192.7%
ATL 90, CHI 970.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.98,1,1,192.5%