NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	94		Excitement	7.5 [355]		MVP	DeShawn Stevenson (WAS): +17.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	98		Comeback	1.8 [782]		LVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): -29.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeShawn Stevenson	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.18	0.15	0.04	0.01	12	87%	0.27	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	-0.01	-0.00	7	72%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Brendan Haywood	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	7	60%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Darius Songaila	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	64%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Calvin Booth	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Ruffin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donell Taylor	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	8	37%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	10	28%	-0.11	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Andray Blatche	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.03	0.01	10	30%	-0.05	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	-0.29	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.17,-0.21,-0.25,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.15	-0.12	0.02	22	36%	-0.20	3	-0.09	12	92%	0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	17	71%	0.23	6	-0.14	4	75%	-0.00
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	3	70%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.01	9	59%	0.10	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	10	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	2	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	21	51%	0.02	2	-0.07	9	44%	-0.05
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	30%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24	-0.24	-0.13	-0.11	-0.00	15	25%	-0.21	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.12

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.6	0.1	29.1	16.0	24.3	2.6	42.0	144.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +21.8%

WAS -18.0%

MIN +37.4%

MIN +4.7%

MIN +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MIN	NBA	WAS	MIN	NBA
this game	14.7	16.2	15.4	100.0	105.4	104.5
season	14.8	15.4		107.8	101.9
opponent	15.6	15.3		105.8	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.9	15.8	15.0	13.2	14.7
MIN	16.4	16.9	15.6	15.7	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Songaila	29	33	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.20	11	-15	26	13.2	15.3	-2.10	15.5	16.5	-0.98
Antonio Daniels	12	14	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-7	10	14.1	14.7	-0.66	16.8	16.0	0.75
Donell Taylor	34	35	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-6	8	15.4	14.3	1.09	15.2	16.7	-1.48
Michael Ruffin	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.03	1	-5	6	13.5	14.8	-1.27	17.1	16.1	1.07
Roger Mason Jr.	37	38	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.18	6	-10	16	14.1	15.0	-0.95	15.4	16.7	-1.28
Calvin Booth	7	6	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-2	0	13.4	14.8	-1.33	14.7	16.3	-1.59
Etan Thomas	29	31	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.13	-1	-3	2	14.9	14.6	0.34	14.1	17.2	-3.08
Brendan Haywood	53	49	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.19	-8	4	-12	15.2	14.0	1.13	17.4	14.7	2.70
Jarvis Hayes	70	66	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.27	-7	3	-10	14.4	15.3	-0.85	16.5	15.4	1.10
DeShawn Stevenson	53	52	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.34	-5	1	-6	14.4	15.0	-0.65	16.9	15.1	1.80
Andray Blatche	61	59	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.27	-8	4	-12	15.2	13.6	1.67	16.5	15.5	1.07
Gilbert Arenas	77	74	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.27	-12	8	-20	15.0	13.1	1.88	16.0	16.7	-0.67

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	66	69	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.25	16	-12	28	16.6	15.1	1.41	15.2	13.2	1.99
Randy Foye	63	64	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.34	9	-5	14	16.0	16.4	-0.42	15.0	14.0	0.97
Ricky Davis	80	81	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.42	4	0	4	16.1	16.4	-0.27	14.6	14.9	-0.31
Trenton Hassell	77	77	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.38	2	2	0	16.3	15.2	1.09	14.6	15.1	-0.56
Mark Blount	73	75	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.31	0	4	-4	16.3	15.4	0.89	15.0	13.2	1.88
Rashad McCants	14	16	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.08	7	-3	10	15.4	16.3	-0.93	17.2	14.1	3.12
Craig Smith	38	35	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.21	-7	11	-18	14.8	17.1	-2.21	13.8	15.2	-1.37
Justin Reed	9	8	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	6	-8	17.1	16.0	1.06	11.4	15.0	-3.59
Mike James	30	31	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	8	-12	16.4	16.0	0.42	13.7	15.1	-1.37
Marko Jaric	15	14	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.03	-5	9	-14	16.1	16.2	-0.02	12.5	15.0	-2.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.73,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 94, CHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.92,1	94.3%
NJN 87, CHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.4%
MIN 90, NOH 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.48,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.67,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.56,0.73,0.84,0.82,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.83,0.63,0.69,0.85,0.73,0.9,0.93,0.97,1,1	93.4%