NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	94		Excitement	7.4 [352]		MVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): +20.2%
Chicago Bulls	99		Comeback	2.0 [964]		LVP	Francisco Garcia (SAC): -11.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Thompson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.03	0.02	12	75%	0.11	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	12	46%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	3	83%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	3	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Kevin Martin	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1	0.05	-0.14	0.02	15	66%	0.16	7	-0.26	14	79%	-0.03
Francisco Garcia	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	12	33%	-0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.14	0.10	0.03	14	62%	0.20	0	0.00	11	100%	0.10
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	12	62%	0.15	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.06	0.01	11	53%	0.11	2	-0.05	12	83%	0.02
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	1	100%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	10	43%	0.02	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	13	47%	0.03	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	11	14%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.7	29.2	15.8	28.0	1.5	40.2	142.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC -28.5%

CHI +31.6%

CHI +24.6%

CHI +16.6%

CHI +5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	CHI	NBA	SAC	CHI	NBA
this game	14.2	16.1	15.5	97.9	105.3	106.4
season	15.0	14.8		104.0	106.3
opponent	15.7	15.1		107.2	112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.7	15.2	12.2	14.6	14.2
CHI	15.3	15.5	20.0	14.2	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Beno Udrih	55	55	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.07	7	-12	19	14.3	14.0	0.37	16.9	15.2	1.70
Mikki Moore	30	31	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.10	4	-9	13	13.2	14.6	-1.39	16.4	16.0	0.31
Bobby Jackson	18	16	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.01	-4	-1	-3	16.3	13.7	2.64	15.1	16.4	-1.31
Brad Miller	68	69	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.37	4	-9	13	13.9	14.8	-0.89	16.1	16.2	-0.02
Spencer Hawes	33	30	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.03	-10	5	-15	14.4	14.1	0.36	16.3	16.1	0.17
Bobby Brown	25	24	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-8	3	-11	14.1	14.2	-0.09	16.5	16.0	0.47
Francisco Garcia	48	47	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.28	-2	-3	1	14.6	13.8	0.83	15.3	17.0	-1.79
Kevin Martin	78	77	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.41	2	-7	9	13.7	16.1	-2.37	16.3	15.6	0.68
Jason Thompson	61	58	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	3	-11	14.8	13.1	1.73	16.0	16.4	-0.43
John Salmons	64	63	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.22	-10	5	-15	13.7	15.2	-1.45	16.2	16.1	0.13

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Rose	72	72	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.25	14	-9	23	15.7	17.5	-1.70	13.7	15.6	-1.86
Ben Gordon	68	69	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.27	10	-5	15	16.4	15.4	1.00	14.4	13.7	0.62
Joakim Noah	31	30	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.03	17	-12	29	16.2	16.1	0.02	14.2	14.2	-0.03
Larry Hughes	55	56	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.23	9	-4	13	15.5	17.0	-1.45	14.1	14.2	-0.11
Andres Nocioni	24	24	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.09	6	-1	7	17.0	15.9	1.14	14.0	14.2	-0.19
Tyrus Thomas	72	74	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.31	-6	11	-17	15.6	18.0	-2.42	14.2	14.1	0.07
Drew Gooden	59	63	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.26	-7	12	-19	17.1	14.5	2.60	14.7	13.2	1.49
Thabo Sefolosha	53	55	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.19	-6	11	-17	16.5	15.8	0.70	13.6	14.9	-1.29
Aaron Gray	14	13	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	8	-11	13.4	16.6	-3.28	13.5	14.3	-0.75
Lindsey Hunter	22	24	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.10	-9	14	-23	17.5	15.7	1.70	15.6	13.7	1.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 94, MIN 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.73,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.99,1	94.3%
CHA 104, OKC 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.5,0.4,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.44,0.34,0.42,0.49,0.41,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.89,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.84,1	92.8%
DET 96, BKN 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.32,0.36,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.59,0.76,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.81,0.89,0.73,1	92.6%