NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	96		Excitement	3.9 [824]		MVP	Chris Paul (LAC): +12.7%
Los Angeles Clippers	105		Comeback	1.2 [850]		LVP	Alec Burks (UTA): -6.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Enes Kanter	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	3	87%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Al Jefferson	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.07	-0.03	0.03	22	59%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.11	-0.01	0.10	6	93%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Favors	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.00	2	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	56%	0.02	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.04	14	53%	0.01	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.01
DeMarre Carroll	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	3	12%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Earl Watson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Gordon Hayward	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	12	42%	0.01	3	-0.06	9	67%	-0.02
Alec Burks	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	7	18%	-0.07	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.16	0.01	0.04	14	79%	0.14	2	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.02	12	61%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	9	37%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	100%	0.04	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	59%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Reggie Evans	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	16	60%	0.13	5	-0.14	8	50%	-0.03
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	12%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.5	31.4	16.6	26.3	2.4	33.3	135.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +50.7%

LAC +0.5%

UTA -6.8%

LAC +5.0%

LAC +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAC	NBA	UTA	LAC	NBA
this game	16.1	16.2	15.6	109.1	116.7	102.8
season	15.8	16.2		104.0	106.0
opponent	15.7	15.1		104.5	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.0	18.0	14.5	15.3	16.1
LAC	15.0	18.0	16.8	15.4	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarre Carroll	18	18	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.01	-5	-4	-1	19.7	15.2	4.52	16.7	16.1	0.54
Earl Watson	33	33	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-7	5	17.0	15.6	1.40	16.3	16.2	0.06
Enes Kanter	20	20	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.03	-7	-2	-5	17.7	15.7	2.04	16.7	16.1	0.60
Alec Burks	39	39	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-7	5	16.9	15.5	1.34	16.3	16.2	0.18
Derrick Favors	32	31	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.01	-8	-1	-7	17.6	15.3	2.31	16.5	16.1	0.38
Paul Millsap	56	59	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.22	-1	-8	7	15.3	17.6	-2.31	16.1	16.5	-0.38
CJ Miles	49	51	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	-7	-2	-5	15.5	16.9	-1.34	16.2	16.3	-0.18
Al Jefferson	68	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	-2	-7	5	15.7	17.7	-2.04	16.1	16.7	-0.60
Devin Harris	55	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.13	-7	-2	-5	15.6	17.0	-1.40	16.2	16.3	-0.06
Gordon Hayward	70	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	-5	1	15.2	19.7	-4.52	16.1	16.7	-0.54

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Griffin	72	70	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.03	17	-8	25	15.7	18.2	-2.49	15.6	18.3	-2.78
Caron Butler	54	54	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.05	13	-4	17	16.2	16.2	0.02	16.1	16.2	-0.08
Eric Bledsoe	31	32	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.01	14	-5	19	16.0	16.3	-0.31	15.8	16.3	-0.54
Randy Foye	65	62	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	-1	11	16.0	16.7	-0.67	15.3	18.1	-2.77
Kenyon Martin	46	44	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.22	1	8	-7	16.6	15.9	0.72	16.4	15.9	0.48
DeAndre Jordan	58	57	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.21	1	8	-7	16.1	16.5	-0.37	16.4	15.7	0.69
Nick Young	40	40	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	7	-5	15.7	16.7	-0.96	16.8	15.6	1.19
Chris Paul	59	56	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.24	-5	14	-19	16.3	16.0	0.31	16.3	15.8	0.54
Bobby Simmons	21	20	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	16	-23	17.8	15.8	2.06	17.4	15.7	1.71
Reggie Evans	4	5	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	10	-11	23.0	15.9	7.08	19.2	15.9	3.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.82,0.76,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.88,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 86, DEN 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.8,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.76,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
MEM 79, MIN 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.64,0.61,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.88,0.85,0.92,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
CHA 85, DET 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.8,0.8,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%