NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	79		Excitement	3.4 [1127]		MVP	Ryan Gomes (MIN): +10.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	104		Comeback	1.0 [628]		LVP	Rudy Gay (MEM): -9.5%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	8	70%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Darrell Arthur	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.08	-0.01	0.08	12	61%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	9	50%	0.02	3	-0.04	2	0%	-0.00
Hakim Warrick	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
O.J. Mayo	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	17	49%	-0.01	2	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Darius Miles	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.02	0.02	12	43%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.16	-0.00	0.04	16	64%	0.11	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Mike Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	12	67%	0.13	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Kevin Love	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.02	-0.03	14	61%	0.15	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	3	50%	0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	7	79%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bobby Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	3	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	9	59%	0.02	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	11	41%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.4	31.6	15.4	23.7	2.6	29.0	129.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +27.5%

MIN +12.7%

MIN +15.0%

MEM -6.3%

MIN +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	MIN	NBA	MEM	MIN	NBA
this game	15.5	17.4	15.5	90.8	118.2	106.4
season	16.1	15.8		101.7	104.3
opponent	15.1	15.3		109.2	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	17.2	14.7	14.6	15.7	15.5
MIN	14.9	18.0	17.5	19.3	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Miles	13	14	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-27	29	15.2	15.6	-0.44	17.4	17.4	0.06
Darko Milicic	39	38	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.35	8	-33	41	14.6	16.2	-1.61	15.6	18.7	-3.11
Marko Jaric	18	17	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.15	-11	-14	3	14.1	15.9	-1.86	15.3	17.9	-2.58
Greg Buckner	20	20	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.32	-17	-8	-9	16.4	15.3	1.13	14.6	18.2	-3.53
Darrell Arthur	41	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.27	-16	-9	-7	15.7	15.4	0.29	19.3	15.7	3.64
O.J. Mayo	64	65	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-21	17	15.6	15.3	0.36	18.0	15.6	2.45
Hakim Warrick	18	19	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.27	-17	-8	-9	15.7	15.5	0.17	14.1	18.3	-4.17
Quinton Ross	23	23	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.33	-21	-4	-17	15.3	15.6	-0.36	15.6	18.0	-2.45
Rudy Gay	67	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.08	-8	-17	9	15.3	16.4	-1.13	18.2	14.6	3.53
Mike Conley	69	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.08	-14	-11	-3	15.9	14.1	1.86	17.9	15.3	2.58
Marc Gasol	63	64	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.32	-27	2	-29	16.0	14.2	1.77	18.1	15.3	2.81

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Miller	55	55	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.08	17	8	9	16.4	19.0	-2.60	15.4	15.7	-0.25
Kevin Love	55	56	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.11	17	8	9	16.4	19.0	-2.65	15.6	15.4	0.22
Ryan Gomes	61	60	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.19	18	7	11	17.4	17.2	0.22	15.8	14.8	1.04
Sebastian Telfair	47	48	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.01	10	15	-5	17.4	17.4	-0.03	16.0	14.9	1.10
Jason Collins	44	42	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.02	8	17	-9	17.2	17.5	-0.30	15.9	15.2	0.77
Craig Smith	44	45	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.25	17	8	9	17.5	17.2	0.30	15.2	15.9	-0.77
Brian Cardinal	45	42	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.14	13	12	1	17.4	17.3	0.10	15.5	15.6	-0.15
Kevin Ollie	42	40	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.20	13	12	1	17.5	17.2	0.33	15.1	15.9	-0.70
Shelden Williams	31	31	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.18	10	15	-5	19.5	16.2	3.21	15.4	15.6	-0.22
Bobby Brown	16	16	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.04	2	23	-21	19.3	16.9	2.37	14.3	15.8	-1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.64,0.61,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.88,0.85,0.92,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 93, PHI 108	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
PHI 91, LAC 127	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.79,0.71,0.82,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
TOR 98, DAL 117	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.78,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%