NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	85		Excitement	3.2 [1140]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): +11.5%
Detroit Pistons	104		Comeback	1.1 [854]		LVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): -8.7%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	12	58%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Emeka Okafor	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	10	56%	0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.01	9	60%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Hollins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jared Dudley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter Herrmann	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.00	0.06	8	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	37%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Primoz Brezec	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	5	45%	-0.03	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Derek Anderson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.14	-0.00	-0.09	11	18%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.02	0.03	8	77%	0.13	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.02
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.01	0.04	12	66%	0.09	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	8	82%	0.11	4	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	5	79%	0.07	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	58%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	71%	0.00	1	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	40%	0.00	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	45%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	11	27%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.7	31.3	18.7	28.2	2.5	28.4	135.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +21.5%

DET +11.1%

DET +14.7%

CHA -1.2%

DET +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	DET	NBA	CHA	DET	NBA
this game	16.9	15.4	15.4	95.5	116.9	105.7
season	15.8	16.8		103.1	108.8
opponent	15.8	15.1		101.3	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	20.3	14.8	14.5	18.6	16.9
DET	15.7	16.5	16.8	12.7	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othella Harrington	20	20	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.05	0	-19	19	13.4	18.0	-4.56	14.5	15.7	-1.20
Matt Carroll	44	43	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-18	17	16.2	17.7	-1.48	13.6	17.2	-3.62
Derek Anderson	51	52	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-20	21	15.7	18.6	-2.96	14.3	17.0	-2.74
Jared Dudley	24	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.01	-2	-17	15	15.8	17.4	-1.56	12.1	16.6	-4.50
Walter Herrmann	34	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-16	13	16.4	17.3	-0.94	12.2	17.3	-5.06
Ryan Hollins	44	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.06	-4	-15	11	16.5	17.3	-0.77	13.4	17.1	-3.69
Primoz Brezec	11	11	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.12	-10	-9	-1	23.3	16.0	7.23	17.6	15.1	2.52
Gerald Wallace	38	39	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.10	-12	-7	-5	18.6	15.7	2.87	18.2	13.2	4.99
Emeka Okafor	41	43	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.15	-16	-3	-13	18.1	16.0	2.11	17.8	13.2	4.62
Jeff McInnis	46	46	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.13	-17	-2	-15	17.1	16.7	0.36	16.2	14.6	1.55
Jason Richardson	46	46	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.04	-16	-3	-13	17.7	16.2	1.49	17.2	13.6	3.62
Raymond Felton	46	48	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	-4	-11	17.2	16.7	0.54	16.9	13.7	3.19

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio McDyess	60	58	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.11	20	-1	21	16.1	14.0	2.12	16.6	17.6	-1.09
Chauncey Billups	58	58	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.10	19	0	19	16.2	13.9	2.34	16.5	17.8	-1.29
Tayshaun Prince	43	42	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.12	19	0	19	17.6	13.4	4.12	17.6	16.3	1.30
Rasheed Wallace	42	43	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.16	20	-1	21	17.4	13.7	3.70	19.1	14.9	4.18
Richard Hamilton	59	57	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.06	16	3	13	17.1	12.2	4.82	16.5	17.7	-1.23
Jason Maxiell	43	43	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	14	-9	15.3	15.5	-0.20	15.0	18.7	-3.65
Arron Afflalo	30	32	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.01	3	16	-13	12.2	17.1	-4.82	17.7	16.5	1.23
Jarvis Hayes	47	48	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	21	-23	13.2	17.9	-4.74	16.3	17.7	-1.39
Lindsey Hunter	10	10	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	20	-21	16.5	15.3	1.21	16.6	17.0	-0.37
Ronald Murray	21	21	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.01	1	18	-17	12.7	16.3	-3.61	18.3	16.5	1.83
Nazr Mohammed	18	18	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.09	-3	22	-25	12.7	16.1	-3.46	17.3	16.8	0.43
Amir Johnson	14	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	21	-23	11.4	16.2	-4.74	17.3	16.9	0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.8,0.8,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 86, DEN 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.8,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.76,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
HOU 109, SAC 125	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.82,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.4%
WAS 100, DEN 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.82,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%