NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	109		Excitement	3.4 [1077]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +14.9%
Sacramento Kings	125		Comeback	1.2 [1113]		LVP	Moochie Norris (HOU): -7.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.13	-0.01	0.07	15	79%	0.11	3	-0.05	8	75%	-0.01
Carlos Rogers	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	9	68%	0.02	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Sean Colson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Langhi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.06	8	58%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Shandon Anderson	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	42%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	11	62%	0.05	5	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Kelvin Cato	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	67%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Kenny Thomas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	9	43%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Moochie Norris	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	5	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.16	0.01	0.02	18	78%	0.18	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	11	87%	0.13	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	5	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	69%	0.04	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	-0.01	-0.04	9	55%	0.05	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	0.03	4	100%	0.07	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Chris Webber	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	19	62%	0.05	5	-0.07	7	86%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	27.4	15.5	28.3	2.7	26.2	125.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +47.1%

SAC +0.6%

HOU -1.2%

HOU -0.2%

SAC +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAC	NBA	HOU	SAC	NBA
this game	16.1	13.3	15.5	111.2	127.6	100.9
season	16.3	14.4		104.6	103.1
opponent	15.5	14.9		97.8	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	18.2	15.0	17.5	13.5	16.1
SAC	11.0	13.3	12.5	16.5	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Colson	15	16	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-16	16	12.0	16.8	-4.81	16.6	12.7	3.95
Dan Langhi	14	15	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-16	16	11.7	16.8	-5.08	16.1	12.8	3.25
Matt Bullard	45	46	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.23	5	-21	26	15.3	16.7	-1.45	15.3	11.5	3.83
Carlos Rogers	44	44	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.22	3	-19	22	14.7	17.2	-2.56	15.9	11.2	4.71
Kenny Thomas	66	67	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.22	1	-17	18	15.3	17.7	-2.35	14.1	11.5	2.59
Moochie Norris	47	46	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.08	-7	-9	2	17.1	15.2	1.91	13.7	12.9	0.80
Maurice Taylor	45	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.21	-17	1	-18	17.1	15.2	1.88	11.4	15.0	-3.63
Steve Francis	46	47	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	-2	-12	16.1	16.1	-0.01	11.9	14.6	-2.73
Cuttino Mobley	78	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	-6	-4	16.8	13.2	3.54	12.6	15.7	-3.11
Kelvin Cato	41	40	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.16	-19	3	-22	17.7	14.9	2.81	11.3	14.7	-3.41
Shandon Anderson	49	48	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.23	-22	6	-28	17.2	15.0	2.22	11.5	15.1	-3.56

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	88	87	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.29	28	-12	40	12.9	17.0	-4.10	16.2	14.9	1.31
Vlade Divac	75	73	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.30	28	-12	40	13.0	14.3	-1.23	16.5	14.9	1.55
Jason Williams	75	74	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.30	27	-11	38	12.4	16.3	-3.85	15.9	16.6	-0.68
Peja Stojakovic	78	78	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.29	26	-10	36	12.6	16.0	-3.37	16.2	15.7	0.40
Doug Christie	74	75	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.18	6	10	-4	12.7	15.2	-2.51	16.9	13.3	3.62
Jon Barry	10	10	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.04	5	11	-6	13.9	13.2	0.65	14.6	16.2	-1.64
Hedo Turkoglu	34	33	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.21	-5	21	-26	16.1	11.9	4.20	14.4	16.9	-2.53
Bobby Jackson	24	25	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.34	-11	27	-38	15.6	12.6	3.00	16.0	16.1	-0.04
Scot Pollard	22	24	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.33	-12	28	-40	14.9	12.9	2.05	15.4	16.3	-0.87
Lawrence Funderburke	10	11	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.32	-12	28	-40	17.0	12.9	4.10	14.9	16.2	-1.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.82,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 86, DEN 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.8,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.76,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
UTA 91, SAC 111	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
CHA 85, DET 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.8,0.8,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%