NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	102		Excitement	5.1 [638]		MVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): +17.6%
Los Angeles Lakers	93		Comeback	3.2 [346]		LVP	James Harden (OKC): -11.3%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0.18	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.18	0.12	0.09	0.03	27	56%	0.18	1	-0.00	10	90%	0.02
Kendrick Perkins	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.01	9	60%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Nick Collison	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	8	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	54%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.02	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	3	83%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	22	48%	0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	11	35%	-0.08	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.01	0.06	15	69%	0.13	4	-0.11	6	83%	0.02
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	0.03	11	48%	-0.01	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	0.04	13	35%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	6	50%	-0.00	5	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	25	38%	-0.10	0	0.00	10	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	3.5	32.0	18.8	31.4	2.7	33.5	145.1
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +36.3%

LAL -4.4%

OKC +20.1%

OKC +1.9%

LAL -3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	LAL	NBA	OKC	LAL	NBA
this game	15.4	16.8	15.6	114.6	103.3	102.8
season	14.7	16.2		107.9	103.8
opponent	15.1	15.8		103.5	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	16.3	17.5	12.5	15.5	15.4
LAL	14.4	16.8	17.5	18.8	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thabo Sefolosha	52	52	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	-3	15	13.7	17.8	-4.05	16.5	17.2	-0.66
Russell Westbrook	81	81	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.28	5	4	1	14.9	20.1	-5.20	16.5	19.2	-2.72
Kevin Durant	82	83	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.32	1	8	-7	15.1	18.9	-3.76	16.4	21.6	-5.20
Serge Ibaka	38	38	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	0	9	13.8	16.6	-2.84	16.8	16.8	-0.03
Derek Fisher	27	29	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.10	7	2	5	16.5	14.9	1.62	18.3	16.0	2.26
Nick Collison	33	33	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.03	8	1	7	17.5	14.1	3.37	18.0	16.1	1.98
Kendrick Perkins	63	64	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.26	-3	12	-15	14.8	16.8	-2.05	16.1	18.5	-2.42
Royal Ivey	8	9	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.06	6	3	3	19.1	15.0	4.10	19.1	16.5	2.59
Nazr Mohammed	9	8	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.07	6	3	3	20.6	14.8	5.74	19.2	16.5	2.71
James Harden	52	53	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.15	-6	15	-21	16.8	13.4	3.36	16.6	17.1	-0.52

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	59	60	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.15	0	-9	9	17.4	15.6	1.73	15.5	15.2	0.33
Ramon Sessions	58	57	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.35	5	-14	19	16.6	17.1	-0.44	14.0	17.9	-3.92
Matt Barnes	37	37	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.16	-13	4	-17	18.1	15.9	2.17	17.6	13.8	3.81
Josh McRoberts	25	26	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.09	-13	4	-17	18.8	16.0	2.74	17.3	14.6	2.65
Steve Blake	32	32	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.12	-14	5	-19	17.1	16.6	0.44	17.9	14.0	3.92
Kobe Bryant	80	79	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.36	2	-11	13	15.7	25.2	-9.47	14.8	20.0	-5.19
Andrew Bynum	80	79	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.36	2	-11	13	15.7	25.2	-9.47	14.8	20.0	-5.19
Troy Murphy	14	12	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.04	-9	0	-9	17.6	16.6	1.02	14.2	15.6	-1.42
Metta World Peace	65	63	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.30	-5	-4	-1	17.2	15.8	1.35	14.9	16.6	-1.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.45,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.18,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.13,0.16,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 98, POR 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.01,0,0	94.1%
CLE 132, IND 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.73,0.72,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.61,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.52,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	93.8%
NOH 95, PHX 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.21,0.02,0,0	93.4%