NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	104		Excitement	8.0 [199]		MVP	Brandon Rush (GSW): +24.7%
Golden State Warriors	101		Comeback	2.5 [527]		LVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): -22.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.23	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23	0.05	0.17	-0.01	16	54%	0.24	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.04
Matt Barnes	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.11	0.09	-0.00	10	82%	0.24	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,0.14	-0.00	0.14	-0.00	24	50%	0.23	3	-0.09	12	92%	0.05
Josh McRoberts	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Metta World Peace	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	13	42%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	13	35%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Steve Blake	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.07	-0.12	0.01	4	44%	-0.13	3	-0.06	8	62%	-0.15

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.25	0.25	0.16	0.09	0.01	15	70%	0.25	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	8	76%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.14,0.14,0.11	0.11	0.00	0.11	-0.00	7	43%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.10	0.01	21	46%	0.11	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Charles Jenkins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.01	9	55%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Mickell Gladness	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	3	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jeremy Tyler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22	-0.22	-0.06	-0.15	0.01	25	40%	-0.18	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.8	30.8	15.8	26.6	2.6	37.8	141.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +29.7%

GSW -2.1%

LAL +41.3%

GSW -20.0%

LAL +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	GSW	NBA	LAL	GSW	NBA
this game	14.4	15.2	15.6	107.2	104.1	102.8
season	16.2	15.2		103.8	103.6
opponent	15.4	15.1		106.8	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.9	14.0	13.8	16.1	14.4
GSW	17.4	13.7	14.4	15.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	68	67	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.36	8	-5	13	15.4	12.1	3.34	15.2	15.3	-0.08
Pau Gasol	77	77	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.33	7	-4	11	14.9	12.6	2.26	15.4	14.5	0.94
Ramon Sessions	61	63	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.29	8	-5	13	14.1	15.0	-0.93	15.4	14.9	0.52
Kobe Bryant	77	78	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	0	3	13.5	17.9	-4.42	15.1	15.7	-0.61
Matt Barnes	61	61	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.44	-3	6	-9	14.0	15.1	-1.11	15.4	15.0	0.35
Josh McRoberts	47	44	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	-3	9	13.7	15.1	-1.40	15.2	15.2	0.00
Steve Blake	34	34	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.08	-3	6	-9	15.4	14.0	1.40	14.9	15.4	-0.52
Andrew Bynum	48	48	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	7	-11	14.2	14.7	-0.47	15.3	15.2	0.09
Troy Murphy	12	13	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.05	-7	10	-17	16.7	14.1	2.54	14.2	15.4	-1.26

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mickell Gladness	9	9	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.04	2	-5	7	12.3	15.5	-3.21	17.6	14.1	3.43
Jeremy Tyler	19	19	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-2	1	16.8	14.9	1.92	15.3	14.2	1.02
Dominic McGuire	57	59	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.48	11	-14	25	15.0	15.6	-0.56	15.1	13.4	1.64
Dorell Wright	49	49	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	4	-11	14.9	15.6	-0.71	14.7	14.2	0.42
Richard Jefferson	71	71	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.46	6	-9	15	14.8	16.4	-1.55	14.0	15.5	-1.50
Charles Jenkins	55	54	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-8	5	-13	14.6	16.1	-1.54	13.9	15.1	-1.25
Klay Thompson	75	76	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.35	-5	2	-7	16.0	12.6	3.44	14.4	14.8	-0.41
Brandon Rush	66	65	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.41	-4	1	-5	15.2	15.3	-0.02	14.4	14.4	0.01
David Lee	84	83	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.31	-9	6	-15	15.7	12.5	3.13	14.1	16.4	-2.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.35,0.28,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.47,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 84, HOU 81	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.34,0.24,0.27,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.19,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.22,0.29,0.34,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.42,0	91.2%
MIA 91, MIL 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.28,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.22,0.4,0.34,0.53,0.36,0.32,0.37,0	91.1%
IND 92, MIL 90	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.17,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.24,0.22,0.45,0.29,0.43,0.58,0	90.8%