inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 109 Excitement3.8 [841] MVPJames Harden (OKC): +20.3%
Portland Trail Blazers 95 Comeback1.1 [853] LVPJamal Crawford (POR): -9.2%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Harden0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.020.027100%0.211-0.007100%0.03
Kevin Durant0.080,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.090.010.021481%0.145-0.063100%0.01
Russell Westbrook0.070,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.100.030.052658%0.112-0.0430%-0.04
Thabo Sefolosha0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.00-0.00564%0.0500.001100%0.00
Nick Collison0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.060.000.023100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Serge Ibaka0.030,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.01750%0.0300.002100%0.01
Royal Ivey0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.01275%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Derek Fisher0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00642%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lazar Hayward0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Reggie Jackson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cole Aldrich0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nazr Mohammed-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05425%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Kendrick Perkins-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.01-0.0320%-0.023-0.0600%0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
JJ Hickson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.140.010.021081%0.1310.00650%-0.04
Wesley Matthews0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.02-0.011355%0.0800.005100%0.01
Luke Babbitt0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.010.023100%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Nicolas Batum0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.00-0.001150%0.021-0.024100%0.02
Hasheem Thabeet0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.000100%0.0010.002100%0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.05-0.020.041659%0.042-0.052100%0.01
Joel Przybilla0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.01312%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Kurt Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.0210%-0.032-0.0300%0.00
Nolan Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.110.00-0.05917%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Jonny Flynn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.080.03-0.030.08662%-0.041-0.04475%-0.01
Jamal Crawford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.12-0.00-0.03714%-0.062-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.22.324.815.026.22.529.2128.2
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +44.3%
OKC +7.1%
OKC +1.5%
OKC +0.1%
POR -2.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCPORNBAOKCPORNBA
this game15.416.915.6121.1108.0102.8
season14.715.7107.9104.1
opponent15.415.8104.7101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC13.715.215.517.215.4
POR20.618.415.114.116.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Harden54530.64-0.140.79-0.1226-123815.016.1-1.0816.917.1-0.19
Derek Fisher31290.390.110.28-0.0816-21814.216.1-1.9417.116.90.19
Nick Collison38350.380.120.27-0.0515-11614.616.0-1.3916.817.0-0.19
Russell Westbrook63640.340.160.17-0.071401415.216.0-0.8117.515.51.98
Kevin Durant59600.220.28-0.05-0.0186215.615.20.4117.216.30.91
Nazr Mohammed25240.190.31-0.120.07410-615.015.6-0.5415.617.5-1.87
Serge Ibaka52530.130.37-0.24-0.0259-415.715.10.6117.516.11.42
Thabo Sefolosha40400.130.37-0.250.07212-1015.215.6-0.3818.315.82.53
Royal Ivey24210.110.39-0.280.20-317-2016.215.11.1115.317.4-2.11
Lazar Hayward650.000.50-0.500.15-519-2419.315.24.1810.017.4-7.36
Reggie Jackson650.000.50-0.500.15-519-2419.315.24.1810.017.4-7.36
Cole Aldrich650.000.50-0.500.15-519-2419.315.24.1810.017.4-7.36
Kendrick Perkins4646-0.040.54-0.570.02-216-1815.815.10.6717.816.01.71

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hasheem Thabeet560.00-0.500.50-0.155-192410.017.4-7.3619.315.24.18
Kurt Thomas2222-0.10-0.400.290.01-4-10617.316.80.4412.716.3-3.58
Joel Przybilla2426-0.11-0.390.28-0.05-2-121019.516.03.5715.515.40.04
LaMarcus Aldridge6868-0.17-0.330.16-0.03-5-9417.415.42.0015.515.30.21
Luke Babbitt2325-0.18-0.320.14-0.211-151615.017.6-2.6916.415.01.39
Wesley Matthews6362-0.23-0.270.040.03-9-5-417.814.92.8815.714.90.73
Jonny Flynn4850-0.24-0.260.01-0.10-5-9415.019.3-4.3715.815.00.74
Nolan Smith4546-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.14-4-10618.315.52.7515.615.30.31
Nicolas Batum5658-0.28-0.22-0.060.07-12-2-1017.715.72.0214.617.0-2.48
Jamal Crawford3737-0.46-0.04-0.410.07-184-2216.617.2-0.6515.215.6-0.32
JJ Hickson4950-0.46-0.04-0.420.04-173-2015.618.6-2.9616.014.71.23


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.22,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 95, MIA 810.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.5%
NYK 105, SAC 950.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.43,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.1,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,095.4%
MEM 98, DET 810.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,095.3%