NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	105		Excitement	4.5 [939]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +11.2%
Sacramento Kings	95		Comeback	1.0 [613]		LVP	Bonzi Wells (SAC): -15.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	13	66%	0.13	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.13	0.00	0.06	4	110%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.03	10	65%	0.11	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.04	11	61%	0.15	6	-0.12	6	50%	-0.02
Nate Robinson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.04	12	57%	0.08	4	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01
Eddy Curry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	11	59%	0.08	4	-0.08	5	80%	-0.00
Jackie Butler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.00	3	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Malik Rose	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	1	0%	-0.00	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.17	0.06	0.12	17	67%	0.13	1	-0.02	12	92%	0.05
Mike Bibby	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	12	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	7	61%	0.04	6	-0.11	4	75%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	9	52%	0.03	6	-0.15	9	67%	-0.04
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	9	24%	-0.08	3	-0.07	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	0.7	32.2	15.4	25.4	2.4	37.6	138.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +46.2%

SAC -5.7%

NYK +1.8%

NYK +6.4%

NYK +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SAC	NBA	NYK	SAC	NBA
this game	14.9	14.0	15.6	105.0	96.0	104.4
season	15.7	15.3		102.1	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.4		103.8	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	12.8	14.6	15.6	16.8	14.9
SAC	13.9	15.4	15.7	11.3	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	60	58	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.05	20	-10	30	14.2	16.0	-1.74	13.6	14.6	-0.98
Channing Frye	39	39	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.04	20	-10	30	13.6	15.8	-2.20	14.7	13.6	1.13
Trevor Ariza	70	70	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.28	9	1	8	14.4	16.2	-1.81	14.2	13.6	0.65
Stephon Marbury	83	81	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.23	6	4	2	14.9	14.9	-0.01	13.6	15.7	-2.02
Jamal Crawford	48	48	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.22	0	10	-10	15.1	14.7	0.42	13.0	14.9	-1.88
Quentin Richardson	51	50	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.11	10	0	10	15.4	14.5	0.86	14.2	13.8	0.42
Nate Robinson	19	20	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.00	6	4	2	13.7	15.2	-1.47	16.1	13.5	2.68
Jackie Butler	6	6	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	8	-6	12.8	15.1	-2.23	15.7	13.9	1.76
David Lee	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	10	-10	17.0	14.9	2.09	0.0	14.0	-14.01
Antonio Davis	54	54	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.22	-9	19	-28	16.5	13.1	3.41	13.2	14.9	-1.69
Matt Barnes	27	26	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	13	-16	16.0	14.5	1.42	14.5	13.8	0.72
Eddy Curry	42	43	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.16	-11	21	-32	15.4	14.6	0.86	14.6	13.6	1.01

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Miller	61	63	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.26	7	-17	24	13.5	14.9	-1.39	16.4	12.4	4.09
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	80	82	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.48	9	-19	28	14.0	14.1	-0.12	15.4	12.9	2.42
Brian Skinner	28	26	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	0	-10	14.1	14.0	0.09	13.0	15.6	-2.66
Peja Stojakovic	90	92	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.30	2	-12	14	14.1	13.3	0.74	15.6	7.4	8.21
Mike Bibby	77	80	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.25	0	-10	10	13.4	16.2	-2.85	15.2	13.8	1.41
Jason Hart	43	42	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-8	6	13.5	14.4	-0.92	15.5	14.5	0.94
Kevin Martin	29	27	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.13	-17	7	-24	14.8	13.7	1.16	12.4	15.9	-3.46
Bonzi Wells	59	61	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	5	-20	14.6	13.2	1.36	14.4	15.7	-1.25
Kenny Thomas	28	27	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.21	-24	14	-38	15.5	13.4	2.08	11.7	16.1	-4.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.43,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.1,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 109, POR 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.22,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
TOR 106, NJN 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.14,0.28,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
PHX 103, CLE 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.14,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%