inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 79 Excitement4.1 [784] MVPAmar'e Stoudemire (NYK): +14.5%
New York Knicks 101 Comeback1.2 [1021] LVPWalker Russell (DET): -9.0%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ben Gordon0.130,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.150.010.031371%0.1300.002100%0.01
Jonas Jerebko0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.00557%0.0300.004100%0.02
Greg Monroe0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.000.02-0.001055%0.062-0.042100%0.01
Austin Daye0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.00-0.01750%0.0200.0000%0.00
Charlie Villanueva-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04633%-0.0010.003100%0.00
Jason Maxiell-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.01450%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Ben Wallace-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.060.00-0.0510%-0.001-0.0120%0.00
Damien Wilkins-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.02-0.000.03644%-0.0200.00667%-0.01
Brandon Knight-0.070,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.14-0.01-0.071141%-0.016-0.0700%0.00
Tayshaun Prince-0.090,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.01-0.011026%-0.061-0.02367%-0.01
Walker Russell-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.13-0.01-0.0530%-0.044-0.0500%0.00

New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.110.03-0.001071%0.161-0.01475%0.00
Tyson Chandler0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.00-0.00858%0.082-0.041050%-0.05
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.01-0.00-0.021448%0.051-0.031100%0.00
Carmelo Anthony0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.001250%0.041-0.02683%0.01
Steve Novak0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.02662%0.0200.0010%-0.02
Iman Shumpert0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.05743%0.002-0.0000%0.00
Mike Bibby0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Toney Douglas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jerome Jordan00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeremy Lin0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.060.02-0.02672%0.127-0.14683%0.01
Josh Harrellson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.070.00-0.04440%-0.013-0.0220%-0.03
Landry Fields0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.000.00333%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Baron Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.03550%0.034-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.22.535.218.525.01.826.2134.6
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NYK +32.3%
NYK +2.7%
NYK +23.4%
DET -13.4%
NYK +5.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETNYKNBADETNYKNBA
this game15.715.315.684.9108.6102.8
season16.314.999.5102.3
opponent15.715.4100.2104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET15.814.918.813.815.7
NYK14.215.118.114.415.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Charlie Villanueva1314-0.00-0.500.500.09-3-191613.716.0-2.3013.615.6-2.04
Damien Wilkins4040-0.00-0.500.490.14-5-171213.917.0-3.1415.315.3-0.00
Austin Daye3435-0.11-0.390.280.18-10-12214.416.4-1.9814.116.0-1.86
Walker Russell3030-0.14-0.360.230.07-7-15814.516.2-1.6716.914.52.41
Greg Monroe5554-0.16-0.340.17-0.08-3-191616.414.61.7915.515.00.56
Jonas Jerebko3938-0.17-0.330.150.09-9-13414.516.5-1.9916.314.61.63
Jason Maxiell4141-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.03-10-12217.414.33.0815.015.5-0.54
Ben Wallace3839-0.34-0.16-0.170.22-19-3-1614.616.4-1.7915.015.5-0.56
Brandon Knight6363-0.36-0.14-0.230.08-15-7-816.214.51.6714.516.9-2.41
Ben Gordon5958-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.04-12-10-216.414.41.9816.014.11.86
Tayshaun Prince5353-0.50-0.00-0.490.00-17-5-1217.013.93.1415.315.30.00

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Carmelo Anthony56550.53-0.030.55-0.031931615.115.6-0.5817.213.53.71
Tyson Chandler54550.500.000.500.001751215.714.71.0016.814.12.73
Amar'e Stoudemire47470.440.060.38-0.061751214.716.0-1.3016.814.52.22
Jeremy Lin46460.340.160.18-0.011210214.715.9-1.1116.614.71.91
J.R. Smith51530.330.170.15-0.201841415.215.4-0.1515.116.4-1.24
Landry Fields42400.170.33-0.150.06418-1415.415.20.1516.415.11.24
Baron Davis34350.160.34-0.18-0.05715-817.414.13.3715.016.1-1.02
Steve Novak38390.040.46-0.420.01121-2017.813.64.1614.516.5-1.99
Josh Harrellson26250.020.48-0.46-0.07319-1616.514.91.6113.916.3-2.44
Mike Bibby13120.000.50-0.50-0.09319-1611.715.9-4.2013.815.9-2.10
Toney Douglas990.000.50-0.50-0.09319-169.715.9-6.2415.015.7-0.74
Jerome Jordan990.000.50-0.50-0.09319-169.715.9-6.2415.015.7-0.74
Iman Shumpert4040-0.020.52-0.55-0.11319-1615.215.3-0.0913.317.5-4.15


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.64,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.74,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 90, PHX 1150.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%
CHA 87, WAS 1060.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%
CHI 94, HOU 1090.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.84,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%