NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	87		Excitement	4.0 [1030]		MVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): +12.8%
Washington Wizards	106		Comeback	1.1 [1170]		LVP	Keith Bogans (CHA): -18.8%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emeka Okafor	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	13	62%	0.09	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Jason Kapono	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	14	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Sampson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	83%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Steven Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	-0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	5	57%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	50%	0.01
Jason Hart	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	15	40%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	11	54%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Theron Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.21	-0.02	-0.04	15	28%	-0.08	5	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.02	-0.02	10	71%	0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.02	0.03	8	83%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	6	82%	0.09	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	12	67%	0.10	5	-0.11	6	83%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	17	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	0	50%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	5	40%	0.00	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	9	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	2.3	29.3	14.8	27.5	1.8	23.2	126.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +30.4%

WAS +13.1%

WAS +0.0%

WAS +7.7%

CHA -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	WAS	NBA	CHA	WAS	NBA
this game	17.1	14.4	15.5	95.6	115.2	104.0
season	15.5	14.7		99.0	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.1		105.5	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	17.0	17.0	18.5	15.8	17.1
WAS	11.8	15.0	14.2	16.9	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Sampson	19	18	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-20	21	18.4	16.7	1.67	14.8	14.3	0.48
Gerald Wallace	51	52	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-16	13	16.7	17.6	-0.94	14.1	14.8	-0.77
Primoz Brezec	37	37	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.04	-5	-14	9	18.2	16.3	1.93	14.4	14.4	-0.07
Keith Bogans	61	64	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-14	9	16.0	19.4	-3.48	14.1	15.1	-0.98
Jason Kapono	38	37	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.13	-12	-7	-5	17.7	16.7	0.96	14.8	14.1	0.66
Steven Smith	31	32	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-7	-5	16.4	17.5	-1.13	13.2	15.0	-1.89
Theron Smith	34	34	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	-8	-3	17.5	16.9	0.64	15.4	13.8	1.53
Melvin Ely	37	40	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.05	-14	-5	-9	15.5	18.2	-2.63	14.9	14.0	0.86
Jason Hart	74	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.03	-15	-4	-11	17.6	14.7	2.94	14.7	13.1	1.62
Emeka Okafor	73	73	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.14	-19	0	-19	17.5	15.5	1.99	14.1	15.5	-1.36

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gilbert Arenas	69	66	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.05	20	-1	21	13.5	17.2	-3.71	17.6	15.9	1.68
Antawn Jamison	57	58	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.03	16	3	13	13.9	15.1	-1.17	17.4	16.5	0.87
Larry Hughes	59	60	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.01	14	5	9	14.1	15.0	-0.95	17.9	15.6	2.25
Michael Ruffin	48	47	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.08	14	5	9	14.7	14.1	0.58	16.8	17.4	-0.60
Jared Jeffries	58	58	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.10	14	5	9	14.7	13.9	0.76	17.7	16.1	1.63
Jarvis Hayes	48	48	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.04	10	9	1	14.6	14.1	0.53	16.5	17.7	-1.18
Brendan Haywood	43	43	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	14	-9	14.0	14.7	-0.65	17.7	16.5	1.22
Steve Blake	40	39	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	17	-15	15.5	13.5	2.01	15.3	18.5	-3.22
Juan Dixon	22	22	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.06	3	16	-13	16.9	13.6	3.31	15.8	17.5	-1.69
Kwame Brown	16	14	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	22	-25	13.2	14.6	-1.38	15.9	17.3	-1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 97, NJN 121	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
BOS 89, LAL 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.7%
LAC 104, OKC 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.83,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.98,1,1,0.99,1	95.6%