NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	84		Excitement	6.6 [395]		MVP	Josh Smith (ATL): +21.7%
Atlanta Hawks	93		Comeback	4.3 [436]		LVP	Ivan Johnson (ATL): -17.6%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.09	-0.00	7	56%	0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jordan Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	67%	0.07	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Sundiata Gaines	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	20	48%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Kris Humphries	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.03	12	55%	0.04	2	-0.07	7	71%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Shelden Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.01	-0.09	0.00	2	83%	0.01	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	14	29%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	16	34%	-0.09	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Smith	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.04	0.17	-0.01	25	52%	0.25	1	-0.03	8	75%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.09	-0.01	8	65%	0.19	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.04	0.03	8	74%	0.13	0	0.00	7	86%	-0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	8	87%	0.15	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	17	44%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.07	0.00	6	36%	-0.04	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.8	29.3	14.7	26.4	2.3	35.3	135.2
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +55.7%

NJN -7.7%

NJN -0.7%

ATL +4.1%

NJN -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	ATL	NBA	NJN	ATL	NBA
this game	16.3	16.8	15.6	96.6	106.9	102.8
season	16.2	15.7		101.3	102.5
opponent	15.9	15.2		99.5	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	19.2	14.6	17.4	14.5	16.3
ATL	15.1	16.7	17.7	17.5	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Williams	26	27	0.38	-0.88	1.26	0.06	11	-20	31	15.5	16.7	-1.19	16.5	16.9	-0.36
Johan Petro	7	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-10	11	16.3	16.3	-0.05	14.4	17.0	-2.55
Sundiata Gaines	1	0	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.11	-5	-4	-1	3.0	16.5	-13.49	0.0	16.8	-16.77
MarShon Brooks	31	31	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-7	5	18.6	15.1	3.54	16.4	17.0	-0.54
Gerald Wallace	74	74	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.17	3	-12	15	16.9	12.8	4.10	17.1	15.1	1.99
Anthony Morrow	48	48	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.18	0	-9	9	15.2	17.8	-2.60	16.2	17.5	-1.30
Deron Williams	67	69	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-10	11	17.0	14.1	2.90	16.9	16.1	0.83
Shelden Williams	40	38	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.03	-10	1	-11	16.9	15.9	1.00	17.3	16.4	0.92
Gerald Green	50	52	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.25	-9	0	-9	14.7	18.6	-3.89	16.9	16.6	0.24
Jordan Farmar	25	24	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.19	-12	3	-15	15.2	16.8	-1.65	17.3	16.6	0.78
Kris Humphries	66	65	-0.96	0.46	-1.43	-0.29	-23	14	-37	16.7	15.3	1.32	16.6	17.2	-0.61

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Smith	72	74	0.95	-0.45	1.39	0.27	23	-14	37	16.7	17.1	-0.36	16.2	17.1	-0.87
Joe Johnson	75	76	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.25	18	-9	27	16.5	18.2	-1.72	16.4	16.2	0.17
Kirk Hinrich	69	69	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.27	16	-7	23	16.8	16.6	0.27	16.6	15.3	1.26
Jeff Teague	73	74	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.35	5	4	1	17.5	12.7	4.83	15.7	19.7	-3.95
Marvin Williams	47	47	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.23	7	2	5	16.0	17.7	-1.72	16.2	16.5	-0.26
Jason Collins	23	24	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.00	5	4	1	17.7	16.4	1.26	18.3	15.6	2.76
Tracy McGrady	13	12	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	11	-13	17.1	16.7	0.36	17.7	16.1	1.64
Willie Green	19	17	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.01	-5	14	-19	16.6	16.8	-0.18	14.5	16.8	-2.24
Jerry Stackhouse	5	4	-0.34	0.84	-1.17	-0.07	-9	18	-27	16.4	16.8	-0.39	16.2	16.3	-0.09
Ivan Johnson	39	38	-0.48	0.98	-1.47	-0.10	-13	22	-35	16.2	17.2	-1.02	16.5	16.2	0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.59,0.59,0.4,0.33,0.22,0.19,0.3,0.52,0.47,0.59,0.76,0.78,0.93,0.89,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 101, ORL 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.44,0.33,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.63,0.53,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.0%
LAC 103, POR 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.46,0.42,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.91,1	91.8%
DEN 106, NYK 112	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.51,0.4,0.34,0.18,0.38,0.53,0.58,0.7,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.97,0.94,0.99,1	91.4%