NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	103		Excitement	9.0 [146]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +14.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	106		Comeback	2.1 [677]		LVP	CJ McCollum (POR): -9.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12	0.06	0.07	0.01	12	62%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.08	0.01	7	68%	0.17	2	-0.05	8	37%	-0.06
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Austin Rivers	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.01	0.05	-0.04	-0.00	19	49%	0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
CJ Wilcox	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Pablo Prigioni	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	5	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	12	42%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Jamal Crawford	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07	0.02	-0.09	-0.00	25	51%	0.01	3	-0.07	13	92%	0.12

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.05	0.02	21	57%	0.17	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.05	0.00	9	65%	0.17	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,0.1	0.10	-0.01	0.12	0.01	5	56%	0.15	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.02
Maurice Harkless	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	12	54%	0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	4	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	9	50%	0.10	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	10	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.06	0.02	16	54%	0.05	4	-0.14	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	3.5	35.6	16.0	25.3	3.4	42.4	153.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +59.4%

LAC -5.2%

POR +16.5%

LAC -21.4%

POR +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	POR	NBA	LAC	POR	NBA
this game	15.8	16.0	14.9	113.2	117.8	105.1
season	14.8	15.0		106.6	107.1
opponent	14.6	14.9		106.7	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.2	14.0	17.3	16.8	15.8
POR	15.5	16.7	16.2	15.9	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Wilcox	10	11	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.05	6	-9	15	15.1	15.9	-0.76	16.7	15.9	0.78
Paul Pierce	32	30	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.22	7	-10	17	15.8	15.8	0.05	16.4	15.9	0.48
DeAndre Jordan	64	64	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-7	11	15.8	15.7	0.16	16.0	16.2	-0.26
Wesley Johnson	35	35	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-2	1	16.6	15.2	1.38	14.9	16.8	-1.90
Pablo Prigioni	11	11	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.12	-9	6	-15	13.4	16.1	-2.75	10.3	16.8	-6.58
Austin Rivers	60	58	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.31	2	-5	7	15.9	15.6	0.30	16.8	14.7	2.11
Cole Aldrich	24	24	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.14	-4	1	-5	17.0	15.3	1.71	16.6	15.8	0.79
JJ Redick	49	49	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.32	1	-4	5	15.5	16.1	-0.63	16.9	15.0	1.92
Jamal Crawford	74	73	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.32	0	-3	3	15.6	16.5	-0.92	15.8	17.2	-1.40
Luc Mbah a Moute	27	27	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.16	-12	9	-21	15.7	15.8	-0.16	16.6	15.8	0.73
Jeff Green	69	68	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.41	-9	6	-15	15.7	16.1	-0.41	16.0	16.2	-0.18

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ McCollum	72	72	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.44	8	-5	13	16.2	15.3	0.89	16.2	14.3	1.85
Al-Farouq Aminu	62	63	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.41	3	0	3	15.8	16.6	-0.87	15.7	16.0	-0.27
Allen Crabbe	60	61	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.31	6	-3	9	16.1	16.0	0.12	15.5	16.3	-0.73
Ed Davis	28	29	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.23	6	-3	9	17.1	15.6	1.49	17.1	15.2	1.94
Damian Lillard	73	75	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.38	-5	8	-13	16.0	16.2	-0.16	15.1	18.9	-3.75
Gerald Henderson	38	40	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.03	4	-1	5	16.5	15.7	0.74	15.4	16.1	-0.72
Mason Plumlee	63	61	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.24	-5	8	-13	15.3	17.7	-2.37	15.4	16.5	-1.12
Brian Roberts	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.05	2	1	1	0.0	16.0	-16.04	0.0	16.0	-15.96
Maurice Harkless	54	53	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	7	-11	16.1	15.9	0.17	16.9	14.3	2.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.46,0.42,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 80, SAS 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.73,0.86,0.93,0.9,0.96,1	94.3%
IND 76, HOU 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.69,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.96,1,1,1	92.5%
GSW 100, DAL 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.63,0.57,0.76,0.78,0.92,0.79,0.96,0.96,1	92.4%