NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	88		Excitement	7.1 [319]		MVP	Steve Nash (PHX): +14.8%
Phoenix Suns	96		Comeback	2.7 [583]		LVP	Markieff Morris (PHX): -15.9%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyreke Evans	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1	0.01	0.04	-0.06	19	44%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Charles Hayes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jason Thompson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jimmer Fredette	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	20	38%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Francisco Garcia	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	22	45%	0.00	1	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Isaiah Thomas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	0.00	-0.05	13	29%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Donte Greene	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.05	0.02	8	44%	-0.04	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.07	-0.00	13	70%	0.26	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.11	-0.01	11	57%	0.18	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	10	64%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	11	58%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	7	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.01	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.14,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.12	0.04	-0.01	12	37%	0.02	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.03
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.06	-0.01	7	12%	-0.11	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	27.3	17.4	26.9	1.8	27.6	127.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +45.8%

PHX +3.0%

PHX +16.2%

SAC -18.3%

PHX +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHX	NBA	SAC	PHX	NBA
this game	15.1	15.1	15.6	92.6	100.0	102.8
season	14.9	15.0		102.2	104.7
opponent	15.7	15.1		104.9	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.0	16.4	15.3	16.1	15.1
PHX	13.7	14.9	13.5	19.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmer Fredette	19	20	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-8	8	16.7	14.7	2.08	15.1	15.1	0.08
Jason Thompson	27	27	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.15	5	-13	18	15.0	15.1	-0.15	18.3	13.8	4.42
Isaiah Thomas	65	66	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.27	4	-12	16	14.4	16.6	-2.28	15.4	14.4	1.04
Travis Outlaw	16	16	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-3	-2	15.7	14.9	0.81	14.2	15.2	-1.00
Charles Hayes	20	21	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-4	0	14.9	15.1	-0.16	16.9	14.6	2.27
Tyreke Evans	72	73	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-5	2	15.1	15.0	0.15	14.7	16.3	-1.61
Francisco Garcia	23	23	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-3	-2	15.0	15.1	-0.15	16.3	14.7	1.61
Donte Greene	52	52	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	0	-8	14.9	15.3	-0.33	13.6	16.9	-3.29
DeMarcus Cousins	75	75	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-4	0	15.1	14.9	0.16	14.6	16.9	-2.27
Marcus Thornton	72	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	3	-14	14.6	16.7	-2.14	14.3	17.5	-3.22
John Salmons	34	35	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.17	-9	1	-10	16.6	14.2	2.40	16.3	14.4	1.85

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Dudley	73	71	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.28	14	-6	20	15.1	14.9	0.22	15.8	13.0	2.83
Robin Lopez	35	35	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.21	5	3	2	16.2	14.4	1.80	14.3	15.5	-1.29
Grant Hill	64	63	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.09	8	0	8	14.4	16.4	-1.94	15.1	15.1	-0.03
Channing Frye	58	57	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	2	4	15.1	15.0	0.14	16.0	13.7	2.27
Steve Nash	65	65	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.11	5	3	2	15.0	15.2	-0.12	15.7	13.7	2.06
Sebastian Telfair	31	30	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.16	3	5	-2	15.2	15.0	0.12	13.7	15.7	-2.06
Markieff Morris	37	38	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.15	2	6	-4	14.8	15.2	-0.40	13.7	16.0	-2.27
Marcin Gortat	61	60	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.06	3	5	-2	14.4	16.2	-1.80	15.5	14.3	1.29
Shannon Brown	42	41	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.17	-2	10	-12	15.7	14.6	1.04	13.9	16.0	-2.15
Michael Redd	14	15	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	12	-16	16.4	14.9	1.57	15.1	15.1	-0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.72,0.63,0.52,0.6,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.88,0.96,0.94,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 80, DAL 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.83,0.99,1,1	93.2%
MIN 82, SAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.39,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.64,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.98,1,1,1	92.4%
SAC 98, HOU 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.73,0.74,0.88,0.88,0.95,1,1,1,1	92.2%