NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	95		Excitement	8.0 [204]		MVP	Chris Paul (LAC): +41.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	103		Comeback	2.1 [629]		LVP	Mo Williams (LAC): -32.1%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Hamilton	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.12	0.05	-0.01	11	75%	0.23	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Arron Afflalo	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.14	0.03	0.01	10	80%	0.18	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Kosta Koufos	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.08	0.00	5	75%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kenneth Faried	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.04	8	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	10	44%	0.07	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Julyan Stone	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	-0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	9	26%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.29	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28,-0.3,-0.3,-0.29	-0.19	-0.13	-0.03	15	25%	-0.19	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.16,-0.29,-0.29,-0.3,-0.3	-0.16	-0.14	-0.00	13	31%	-0.15	3	-0.15	10	50%	-0.10

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41	0.41	0.26	0.15	-0.00	16	82%	0.53	3	-0.12	12	92%	0.02
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.13	0.17	-0.00	18	59%	0.30	0	0.00	10	50%	-0.03
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.04	0.00	9	53%	0.07	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.04
Eric Bledsoe	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	-0.01	-0.06	7	43%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	42%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.04	0.02	11	46%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.26,-0.26,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.32	-0.15	-0.17	0.00	16	18%	-0.32	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.4	29.4	15.8	29.1	2.5	37.2	141.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +27.6%

LAC +6.5%

LAC +8.4%

LAC +7.0%

LAC +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	LAC	NBA	DEN	LAC	NBA
this game	15.9	15.9	15.6	105.6	113.2	102.8
season	14.5	16.2		107.5	106.0
opponent	15.7	15.8		104.5	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	13.9	16.7	17.9	15.2	15.9
LAC	18.9	14.6	14.8	15.5	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julyan Stone	24	26	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-9	10	15.7	16.0	-0.22	16.2	15.8	0.45
Jordan Hamilton	46	44	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.14	-5	-3	-2	15.8	16.0	-0.22	15.7	16.1	-0.40
Kosta Koufos	40	41	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.13	1	-9	10	15.8	16.0	-0.11	16.3	15.6	0.65
Timofey Mozgov	43	43	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	-4	0	16.2	15.7	0.48	15.7	16.1	-0.36
Kenneth Faried	39	42	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.20	0	-8	8	16.4	15.5	0.93	16.5	15.4	1.00
Corey Brewer	65	67	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.28	1	-9	10	15.4	17.3	-1.95	16.8	13.4	3.39
Andre Miller	66	65	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.28	-9	1	-10	16.0	15.7	0.22	15.8	16.2	-0.45
Al Harrington	56	55	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.25	-11	3	-14	15.3	16.9	-1.66	15.3	16.8	-1.52
Arron Afflalo	71	72	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.35	-14	6	-20	16.6	13.5	3.09	15.3	18.4	-3.10

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	78	75	0.96	-0.46	1.42	0.32	22	-14	36	14.9	22.1	-7.19	16.3	13.9	2.45
Blake Griffin	73	71	0.87	-0.37	1.25	0.32	19	-11	30	15.4	17.8	-2.39	15.4	17.8	-2.38
Caron Butler	63	62	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.18	6	2	4	16.3	15.0	1.37	15.8	16.1	-0.23
Randy Foye	60	59	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	1	6	16.2	15.4	0.75	16.5	14.8	1.73
DeAndre Jordan	49	48	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.20	1	7	-6	16.2	15.6	0.54	15.8	16.0	-0.26
Mo Williams	46	46	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.17	-2	10	-12	16.0	15.8	0.22	14.5	17.3	-2.80
Reggie Evans	30	31	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	7	-6	16.1	15.8	0.33	16.7	15.5	1.22
Ryan Gomes	16	17	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	9	-10	14.1	16.3	-2.24	17.1	15.6	1.41
Kenyon Martin	30	30	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.05	-5	13	-18	16.4	15.7	0.78	16.5	15.6	0.83
Eric Bledsoe	10	11	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.04	-8	16	-24	22.2	15.1	7.06	14.3	16.1	-1.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.58,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.53,0.79,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 103, MIN 108	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.41,0.54,0.42,0.69,0.93,0.94,1,1	91.7%
MIN 98, LAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.53,0.47,0.59,0.4,0.46,0.53,0.72,0.96,1,1	91.2%
NYK 90, ORL 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.32,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.63,0.83,0.98,1	91.1%